Napoli - Fiorentina

Italy - Serie A - 17. Jan 2021 13:30

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Last games - Napoli

W
L
L
D
W
L
W
W
DateResultHome - AwayLeague
13. Jan Win (3-2) Napoli - Empoli Coppa Italia 
10. Jan Win (1-2) Udinese - Napoli Serie A 
6. Jan Lose (1-2) Napoli - Spezia Serie A 
3. Jan Win (1-4) Cagliari - Napoli Serie A 
23. Dec Draw (1-1) Napoli - Torino Serie A 
20. Dec Lose (2-0) Lazio - Napoli Serie A 
16. Dec Lose (1-0) Inter - Napoli Serie A 
13. Dec Win (2-1) Napoli - Sampdoria Serie A 

Last games - Fiorentina

L
D
D
W
D
L
W
D
DateResultHome - AwayLeague
13. Jan Draw (1-1) Fiorentina - Inter Coppa Italia 
10. Jan Win (1-0) Fiorentina - Cagliari Serie A 
6. Jan Lose (2-1) Lazio - Fiorentina Serie A 
3. Jan Draw (0-0) Fiorentina - Bologna Serie A 
22. Dec Win (0-3) Juventus - Fiorentina Serie A 
19. Dec Draw (1-1) Fiorentina - Verona Serie A 
16. Dec Draw (1-1) Fiorentina - Sassuolo Serie A 
13. Dec Lose (3-0) Atalanta - Fiorentina Serie A 
STATISTICS
Napoli
Fiorentina
50 %
Wins
25 %
38 %
Losses
25 %
13 %
Draws
50 %
1.63
Avg Scored
1
1.38
Avg Conceded
1
1.75
Score@Home
0.8
1.5
Concede@Home
0.6
1.5
Score@Away
1.33
1.25
Concede@Away
1.67
25 %
Failure to score
25 %
0 %
Clean sheets
38 %
63 %
Over 2.5 Game
38 %
25 %
Over 3.5 Game
0 %
75 %
Both Score YES
50 %
25 %
Both Score NO
50 %
75 %
Matches ODD
50 %
25 %
Matches EVEN
50 %
STATISTICS - RANKING ANALYSIS
Napoli (High Rank) HOME games vs Medium Rank
Fiorentina (Medium Rank) AWAY games vs High Rank
2.1
SCORED
1.3
1.1
CONCEDED
1.4
60%
WON
40%
30%
LOST
50%
10%
DRAW
10%
60%
OVER 2.5
70%
40%
UNDER 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS YES
60%
40%
BTTS NO
40%
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
AS Roma
61
2.
Juventus
61
3.
AC Milan
59
4.
Inter
55
5.
Atalanta
54
6.
Spal
53
7.
Napoli
52
8.
Lazio
50
9.
Lecce
48
10.
Sassuolo
45
11.
Fiorentina
43
12.
Verona
41
13.
Benevento
40
14.
Spezia
40
15.
Udinese
40
16.
Brescia
39
17.
Genoa
38
18.
Sampdoria
38
19.
Bologna
37
20.
Cagliari
36
21.
Torino
33
22.
Parma
33
23.
Crotone
28
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RESULT vs SAME TEAM
Napoli
Fiorentina
Home Games
W
6-0
Genoa
D
0-0
W
4-1
Atalanta
L
1-2
D
2-2
AC Milan
D
1-1
W
2-0
Sassuolo
L
1-3
W
2-1
Torino
W
2-0
W
2-1
Sampdoria
L
1-2
W
2-1
Udinese
W
3-2
Away Games
W
0-1
Inter
L
2-1
W
2-4
Sampdoria
W
1-5
W
1-2
Udinese
D
0-0
L
2-0
Lazio
L
2-1
L
2-1
Parma
W
1-2
L
2-0
Atalanta
L
3-0


WINNER: TEAM 1 54%, TEAM 2 31%
Score prediction: 1.81 - 1.27
O/U 2.5: OVER 69%

Both Teams Score?: YES 65%
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
Not an easy task to predict this game. Most likely it is going to be an open and one-sided game where the favorite takes the win. Napoli has gained 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from the last 8 games. Last 4 HOME games show us 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. Their last game at HOME was on 6. January against Spezia, resulting in away win (1-2). Looking at the last 8 games of Fiorentina we see 2 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses. Last 3 AWAY games show us 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses. Most recent AWAY game was on 6. January against Lazio and this one ended with home win (2-1). Taking all of this into consideration, we see two teams with very similar stats and a possible DRAW. Our football prediction for 1X2: pick DRAW!

Expecting an interesting game between High ranking Napoli and Medium ranking team Fiorentina. Napoli's last 10 HOME games against Medium ranking teams: 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. Fiorentina AWAY performance against High ranking teams: 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Napoli's scoring ability is 2.2 goals scored per game vs Fiorentina's 1.2. Defensive performance shows Napoli with 0.9 and Fiorentina with 1.6 goals conceded per game. If I consider all of the Ranking-based data and stats, I would say Napoli being stronger and most likely winning this game. Our football prediction for 1X2: Napoli to win! High confidence.

Last 8 games of Napoli show us 4 Over 2.5 Goals and 4 Under 2.5 Goals. Last 8 matches of Fiorentina have seen 3 Over 2.5´s and 5 Under 2.5´s. When we look at the ranking-based O/U 2.5 stats of Napoli it shows us 6 Overs and 4 Unders in the last 10 HOME games against teams who perform in similar way and who have same ranking as Fiorentina. Fiorentina has had 8 Over 2.5´s and 2 Under 2.5´s in their last 10 AWAY encounters against teams with ranking nearly the same as Napoli. Napoli is scoring an average of 1.25 goals per game at home when Fiorentina scores 1.33 goals per game away. This makes an average of 2.58 goals per match between the teams. Napoli concedes 1.25 goals on average per game and Fiorentina 1.67. Taking those numbers together we get a total of 2.92 goals conceded per match. From these averages, we expect to see 2.8 goals per match. History shows that 50% of games end Over 2.5 for Napoli and 37.5% for Fiorentina. Taking all of the Over/Under 2.5 facts into consideration, it might end with an OVER 2.5 Under Over 2.5 tip: bet on OVER 2.5!Medium confidence.

Napoli's last 8 matches show us 6 games where both teams scored and 2 games where only one team scored or none. From Fiorentina's last 8 games 4 have seen both teams scoring and 4 only one team/no score. Ranking-based BTS stats of Napoli show us 6 BTS YES and 4 NO's. For Fiorentina, we have seen 5 BTS YES and 5 NO's. There is a 75% chance of Napoli scoring today, 75% for Fiorentina. Probability of conceding a goal is 100% for Napoli and 62.5% for Fiorentina. Considering all the numbers, it is going to be a game where BOTH TEAMS have a great chance to score and thus the best BTTS football prediction would be BOTH TEAMS to Score. High stakes.