Game
Ended

Spal vs AC Milan - 2:2 (Draw)

Italy - Serie A (soccer) 1. Jul 2020 22:45
FREE Score Prediction 0-2
Both Teams Score? No
Under or Over 2.5 Under

Mathematical Probability of Result

Draw (23.5%)
AC Milan (60.9%)

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Last games of Spal

L
D
D
L
W
L
L
W
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
28. Jun Serie A Napoli - Spal Lose (3-1) 1.3 
23. Jun Serie A Spal - Cagliari Lose (0-1) 2.74 
8. Mar Serie A Parma - Spal Win (0-1) 3.79 
22. Feb Serie A Spal - Juventus Lose (1-2) 1.38 
15. Feb Serie A Lecce - Spal Lose (2-1) 2.21 
9. Feb Serie A Spal - Sassuolo Lose (1-2) 2.5 
2. Feb Serie A Lazio - Spal Lose (5-1) 1.25 
25. Jan Serie A Spal - Bologna Lose (1-3) 2.39 
20. Jan Serie A Atalanta - Spal Win (1-2) 13.79 
15. Jan Coppa Italia AC Milan - Spal Lose (3-0) 1.43 
12. Jan Serie A Fiorentina - Spal Lose (1-0) 1.49 
5. Jan Serie A Spal - Verona Lose (0-2) 2.98 
21. Dec Serie A Torino - Spal Win (1-2) 5.58 
15. Dec Serie A AS Roma - Spal Lose (3-1) 1.3 
8. Dec Serie A Spal - Brescia Lose (0-1) 3.77 
4. Dec Coppa Italia Spal - Lecce Win (5-1) 2.19 
1. Dec Serie A Inter - Spal Lose (2-1) 1.27 
25. Nov Serie A Spal - Genoa Draw (1-1) 3.23 
10. Nov Serie A Udinese - Spal Draw (0-0) 3.24 
4. Nov Serie A Spal - Sampdoria Lose (0-1) 2.95 

Last games of AC Milan

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W
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L
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D
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L
D
W
W
W
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
4. Jul Serie A Lazio - AC Milan Win (0-3) 3.19 
28. Jun Serie A AC Milan - AS Roma Win (2-0) 2.63 
22. Jun Serie A Lecce - AC Milan Win (1-4) 1.63 
12. Jun Coppa Italia Juventus - AC Milan Draw (0-0) 4.29 
8. Mar Serie A AC Milan - Genoa Lose (1-2) 5.28 
22. Feb Serie A Fiorentina - AC Milan Draw (1-1) 3.33 
17. Feb Serie A AC Milan - Torino Win (1-0) 1.55 
13. Feb Coppa Italia AC Milan - Juventus Draw (1-1) 3.44 
9. Feb Serie A Inter - AC Milan Lose (4-2) 1.93 
2. Feb Serie A AC Milan - Verona Draw (1-1) 3.59 
28. Jan Coppa Italia AC Milan - Torino Draw (2-2) 3.94 
24. Jan Serie A Brescia - AC Milan Win (0-1) 1.73 
19. Jan Serie A AC Milan - Udinese Win (3-2) 1.56 
15. Jan Coppa Italia AC Milan - Spal Win (3-0) 1.43 
11. Jan Serie A Cagliari - AC Milan Win (0-2) 2.3 
6. Jan Serie A AC Milan - Sampdoria Draw (0-0) 3.95 
22. Dec Serie A Atalanta - AC Milan Lose (5-0) 1.84 
15. Dec Serie A AC Milan - Sassuolo Draw (0-0) 4.48 
8. Dec Serie A Bologna - AC Milan Win (2-3) 2.42 
1. Dec Serie A Parma - AC Milan Win (0-1) 2.14 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Spal
Achievement
AC Milan
20%
% of Wins
50%
70%
% of Losses
15%
10 %
% of Draws
35 %
0.95
Goals scored per match
1.55
1.75
Goals conceded per match
1.05
1
Goals scored - HOME
1.4
1.56
Goals conceded - HOME
0.8
0.91
Goals scored - AWAY
1.7
1.91
Goals conceded - AWAY
1.3
65%
Chance to score goal next match
80%
90%
Chance to concede goal next match
50%
35%
Failure to score matches
20%
10%
Clean sheet matches
50%
60%
Matches over 2.5 goals
45%
25%
Matches over 3.5 goals
30%
1.75
Win margin
1.8
1.64
Losing margin
2.67
60 %
Both teams score - YES
45 %
40 %
Both teams score - NO
55 %
60 %
Matches with ODD score
50 %
40 %
Matches with EVEN score
50 %
3.04
Average win odd - 1X2
2.83
0
Average win odd - BTTS
0
0
Average win odd - O/U 2.5
0
20%
Matches WON being favorite
90%
80%
Matches LOST being favorite
10%
23.08%
Matches WON being underdog
33.33%
76.92%
Matches LOST being underdog
66.67%
H2H vs SIMILAR RANKING TEAMS
Spal last 10 home games against High rank teams
Vs
AC Milan last 10 away games against Low rank teams
Low
Rank
High
31
Rank Score
52
1.4
AVG Goals Scored
1.5
1.6
AVG Goals Conceded
1.2
30% (3)
Games WON
50% (5)
50% (5)
Games LOST
30% (3)
20% (2)
DRAWS
20% (2)
VIEW ALL GAMES
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Lazio
61
2.
Genoa
36
3.
Inter
57
4.
Fiorentina
39
5.
Napoli
54
6.
Juventus
63
7.
Verona
49
8.
Atalanta
68
9.
Torino
33
10.
Sampdoria
40
11.
Bologna
40
12.
Cagliari
40
13.
Brescia
25
14.
Udinese
38
15.
AC Milan
52
16.
Sassuolo
45
17.
Parma
45
18.
Lecce
27
19.
Spal
31
H2H vs SAME TEAMS
Spal
AC Milan
Home Games
L
1-2
Juventus
D
1-1
Away Games
L
1-0
Fiorentina
D
1-1
L
2-1
Lecce
W
1-4
L
5-1
Lazio
W
0-3


WHO WINS: Spal 0%, AC Milan 100%
SCORE PREDICTION: 0.75 vs 2.38
Over/Under 2.5: OVER (63%)

Both Teams to Score: YES (75%)
GAME REVIEW
A great game for predicting coming up at 1. Jul 2020 Serie A where Spal is playing against AC Milan. Not an easy task to predict this game. Most likely it is going to be a fight between two unmatched teams. Looking at the historical stats, Spal has collected 4 wins, 2 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 matches. Last 9 games at Spal HOME stadium have shown us 1 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses. Last time they played at HOME was on 23. June against Cagliari and that game ended with away win (0-1). Last 20 matches of AC Milan show us 9 wins, 8 draws and 3 losses. Last 9 AWAY games of AC Milan are: 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. The last AWAY game was on 22. June against Lecce and that ended with away win (1-4). From this data, we see the victory of AC Milan as they have a big advatage over Spal.

This will be a match involving Low ranking team Spal and High ranking team AC Milan (Rankings are based on hintwise.com algorithms). Spal's last 10 HOME games against High ranking teams show 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses. AC Milan AWAY performance against Low ranking teams shows 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Spal's attacking performance shows us an average of 1.3 goals per game vs AC Milan's 1.3. Rank-based (against similar ranking teams) defense power shows Spal with 1.6 and AC Milan with 1 goals conceded per game. Looking at the the Rank-based (performace against similar ranking teams) factors, our analysts see the victory of AC Milan as they have a big advatage over Spal.

When we look at the last 20 games of Spal, we note 12 Overs and 8 Unders. Among the last 20 games of AC Milan, there have been 8 Overs and 12 Unders. Considering the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Spal we see 7 Overs and 3 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking and performace as AC Milan. AC Milan has seen 4 Overs and 6 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with similar ranking and performance as Spal has. Spal scores an average 1 goals each game at home stadium while AC Milan has been scoring 1.56 goals away. With these facts combined, we get a total average of 2.56 goals per match between both teams. Spal concedes 1.56 goals on average and AC Milan 1.44 for a total of 3 goals conceded per match. From all this info, we expect about 2.8 goals per match. History shows that 60% of games end Over 2.5 for Spal and 40% for AC Milan. Considering the OU 2.5 numbers and stats, it will clearly be OVER 2.5 match.

Spal's last 20 matches show us 12 games where both teams scored and 8 games where only one team scored or none. From AC Milan's last 20 games 10 have seen both teams scoring and 10 only one team/no score. Ranking-based BTS stats of Spal show us 8 BTS YES and 2 NO's. For AC Milan, we have seen 4 BTS YES and 6 NO's. There is a 65% chance of Spal scoring today, 80% for AC Milan. Probability of conceding a goal is 90% for Spal and 55% for AC Milan. Considering all the numbers, it will be a game where BOTH TEAMS SCORE.