Udinese vs Genoa - 1:0 (Home Win)

Italy - Serie A - 22. Nov 2020 19:00

FREE Soccer Prediction 2-0
Both Teams Score? No
Under or Over 2.5 Under

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (52.7%)
Draw (25.5%)
Away (21.9%)

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Tipsters with correct prediction for this game:

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Last games of Udinese

L
L
W
L
W
L
D
D
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
25. Nov Draw (0-0) Udinese - Fiorentina Coppa Italia 
6. Nov Draw (0-0) Sassuolo - Udinese Serie A 
1. Nov Lose (1-2) Udinese - AC Milan Serie A 
28. Oct Win (3-1) Udinese - L.R. Vicenza Coppa Italia 
25. Oct Lose (3-2) Fiorentina - Udinese Serie A 
18. Oct Win (3-2) Udinese - Parma Serie A 
3. Oct Lose (0-1) Udinese - AS Roma Serie A 
30. Sep Lose (0-2) Udinese - Spezia Serie A 

Last games of Genoa

L
W
W
L
L
W
D
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
8. Nov Lose (1-3) Genoa - AS Roma Serie A 
1. Nov Draw (1-1) Sampdoria - Genoa Serie A 
28. Oct Win (2-1) Genoa - Catanzaro Coppa Italia 
24. Oct Lose (0-2) Genoa - Inter Serie A 
27. Sep Lose (6-0) Napoli - Genoa Serie A 
20. Sep Win (4-1) Genoa - Crotone Serie A 
2. Aug Win (3-0) Genoa - Verona Serie A 
29. Jul Lose (5-0) Sassuolo - Genoa Serie A 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Udinese
Genoa
25%
Wins
37.5%
50%
Losses
50%
25 %
Draws
12.5 %
1.13
Goals scored per match
1.38
1.38
Goals conceded per match
2.38
1.17
Goals scored HOME
2
1.33
Goals conceded HOME
1.4
1
Goals scored AWAY
0.33
1.5
Goals conceded AWAY
4
50%
Chance to score goal next match
62.5%
75%
Chance to concede goal next match
87.5%
50%
Failure to score matches
37.5%
25%
Clean sheets
12.5%
50%
Matches over 2.5 goals
75%
37.5%
Matches over 3.5 goals
50%
1.5
Average Win margin
2.33
1.25
Average Loss margin
3.75
50 %
Both teams score YES
50 %
50 %
Both teams score NO
50 %
50 %
Matches ODD score
50 %
50 %
Matches EVEN score
50 %
2.64
Average win odd 1X2
1.88
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
66.67%
Matches WON as Favorite
100%
33.33%
Matches LOST as Favorite
0%
0%
Matches WON as Underdog
0%
100%
Matches LOST as Underdog
100%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Udinese (Medium Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Low Ranking teams
VS
Genoa (Low Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
1.5
Goals Scored
1.2
1
Goals Conceded
1.9
50% (5)
WON
20% (2)
20% (2)
LOST
40% (4)
30% (3)
DRAW
40% (4)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
AC Milan
66
2.
AS Roma
65
3.
Inter
60
4.
Napoli
53
5.
Sassuolo
52
6.
Atalanta
50
7.
Juventus
50
8.
Lazio
49
9.
Fiorentina
48
10.
Spezia
47
11.
Crotone
47
12.
Benevento
47
13.
Udinese
44
14.
Lecce
44
15.
Cagliari
43
16.
Sampdoria
42
17.
Bologna
40
18.
Genoa
37
19.
Parma
36
20.
Verona
35
21.
Spal
34
22.
Brescia
33
23.
Torino
32
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Udinese
Genoa
Home Games
L
1-3
Sampdoria
L
0-1
W
3-0
Sassuolo
W
2-1
L
0-1
AS Roma
L
1-3
W
2-1
Cagliari
W
1-0
D
0-0
Lazio
L
2-3
W
3-2
Parma
L
1-4
W
2-1
Juventus
L
1-3
D
1-1
Napoli
L
1-2
L
1-2
Lecce
W
2-1
L
0-2
Inter
L
0-3
D
0-0
Verona
W
3-0
Away Games
W
0-1
Lecce
D
2-2
L
1-0
Torino
D
1-1
L
3-2
Fiorentina
D
0-0
D
1-1
Bologna
W
0-3
L
3-2
AC Milan
W
1-2
D
1-1
Brescia
D
2-2
W
0-1
Sassuolo
L
5-0
L
2-1
Napoli
L
6-0


Winner: Udinese - 53%, Genoa - 37%, Draw 11%
Score prediction: 1.58 vs 1.26
O/U 2.5: OVER (63%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (58%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
Basic analysis suggest this game to be a game where the favorite takes what it owns. Udinese has gained 3 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from the last 8 games. Last 5 HOME games show us 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses. Their last game at HOME was on 1. November against AC Milan, resulting in away win (1-2). If we look at the last 8 games of Genoa, we note 3 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses. Last 3 AWAY games are following: 0 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. Most recent AWAY game was on 1. November vs Sampdoria and the outcome was draw (1-1). Looking at the data above, we at hintwise.com see a high chance of DRAW as both teams have similar past performance. Our football tip for 1X2: bet on DRAW!

This will be a match involving Medium ranking team Udinese and Low ranking team Genoa. Udinese's last 10 HOME games against Low ranking teams show 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. At the same time Genoa AWAY performance against Medium ranking teams shows 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Udinese's scoring ability is 1.5 goals scored per game vs Genoa's 1.3. Defensive performance shows Udinese with 1 and Genoa with 2 goals conceded per game. If I consider all of the Ranking-based data and stats, I would say Udinese being stronger and most likely winning this game. Our football prediction for 1X2: Udinese to win! High confidence.

Last 8 games of Udinese show us 4 Over 2.5 Goals and 4 Under 2.5 Goals. Last 8 matches of Genoa have seen 6 Over 2.5´s and 2 Under 2.5´s. When we look at the ranking-based O/U 2.5 stats of Udinese it shows us 6 Overs and 4 Unders in the last 10 HOME games against teams who perform in similar way and who have same ranking as Genoa. Genoa has had 8 Over 2.5´s and 2 Under 2.5´s in their last 10 AWAY encounters against teams with ranking nearly the same as Udinese. Udinese scores an average 1.4 goals each game at home stadium while Genoa has been scoring 0.33 goals away. With these facts combined, we get a total average of 1.73 goals per match between both teams. Udinese concedes 1.6 goals on average and Genoa 4 for a total of 5.6 goals conceded per match. From all this info, we expect about 3.7 goals per match. History shows that 50% of games end Over 2.5 for Udinese and 75% for Genoa. Considering the OU 2.5 numbers and stats, it will end up being OVER 2.5 match. Under Over 2.5 prediction: back OVER 2.5! High stakes.

Will both teams score or not? Looking at the Udinese's last 8 games, we see 4 ´both teams scored´ and 4 ´only one team/no score´. From Genoa's last 8 games 4 have seen both teams scoring and 4 only one/no score. Looking at the rank-based BTTS stats, Udinese had 5 BTTS YES and 5 NO's. For Genoa, we have seen 7 BTTS YES and 3 NO's. There is a 62.5% chance of Udinese scoring in this game, the percent for Genoa is 62.5% . Probability of conceding a goal is 75% for Udinese and 87.5% for Genoa. Looking at the stats above, it will be a game where BOTH TEAMS SCORE. Football prediction for BTTS: bet on BTTS-YES! High confidence.