Ascoli vs Entella - 1:1 (Draw)

Italy - Serie B - 22. Nov 2020 16:00

FREE Soccer Prediction 1-1
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Under

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (40.1%)
Draw (30.9%)
Away (29%)

BETTING ODDS

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Last games of Ascoli

L
D
L
L
L
W
L
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
31. Oct Lose (0-1) Ascoli - Pordenone Serie B 
24. Oct Lose (1-0) Salernitana - Ascoli Serie B 
20. Oct Win (2-1) Ascoli - Reggiana Serie B 
17. Oct Lose (1-0) Frosinone - Ascoli Serie B 
3. Oct Lose (0-2) Ascoli - Lecce Serie B 
30. Sep Lose (1-4) Ascoli - Perugia Coppa Italia 
26. Sep Draw (1-1) Brescia - Ascoli Serie B 
31. Jul Lose (2-4) Ascoli - Benevento Serie B 

Last games of Entella

W
L
D
D
W
D
L
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
14. Nov Lose (0-2) Entella - Venezia Serie B 
8. Nov Lose (1-5) Entella - Lecce Serie B 
31. Oct Draw (2-2) Brescia - Entella Serie B 
27. Oct Win (3-1) Entella - Pisa Coppa Italia 
20. Oct Draw (0-0) Frosinone - Entella Serie B 
17. Oct Draw (1-1) Entella - Reggina Serie B 
3. Oct Lose (0-2) Entella - Reggiana Serie B 
30. Sep Win (2-1) Entella - AlbinoLeffe Coppa Italia 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Ascoli
Entella
12.5%
Wins
25%
75%
Losses
37.5%
12.5 %
Draws
37.5 %
0.75
Goals scored per match
1.13
1.88
Goals conceded per match
1.75
1
Goals scored HOME
1.17
2.4
Goals conceded HOME
2
0.33
Goals scored AWAY
1
1
Goals conceded AWAY
1
50%
Chance to score goal next match
62.5%
100%
Chance to concede goal next match
87.5%
50%
Failure to score matches
37.5%
0%
Clean sheets
12.5%
37.5%
Matches over 2.5 goals
50%
25%
Matches over 3.5 goals
37.5%
1
Average Win margin
1.5
1.67
Average Loss margin
2.67
50 %
Both teams score YES
62.5 %
50 %
Both teams score NO
37.5 %
62.5 %
Matches ODD score
12.5 %
37.5 %
Matches EVEN score
87.5 %
3.01
Average win odd 1X2
2.83
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
33.33%
Matches WON as Favorite
50%
66.67%
Matches LOST as Favorite
50%
0%
Matches WON as Underdog
0%
100%
Matches LOST as Underdog
100%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Ascoli (Low Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Low Ranking teams
VS
Entella (Low Ranking) last 9 AWAY games STATS against Low Ranking teams
1.1
Goals Scored
1.4
1.7
Goals Conceded
1.4
20% (2)
WON
11% (1)
50% (5)
LOST
22% (2)
30% (3)
DRAW
67% (6)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Monza
58
2.
Empoli
53
3.
Cosenza
51
4.
Chievo
50
5.
Venezia
50
6.
L.R. Vicenza
50
7.
Cremonese
47
8.
Spezia
47
9.
Benevento
47
10.
Crotone
47
11.
Trapani
46
12.
Reggina
46
13.
Salernitana
45
14.
Pisa
45
15.
Pordenone
44
16.
Perugia
43
17.
Reggiana
43
18.
Frosinone
42
19.
Cittadella
42
20.
Lecce
40
21.
Entella
37
22.
Juve Stabia
36
23.
Livorno
35
24.
Spal
34
25.
Ascoli
34
26.
Brescia
33
27.
Pescara
32
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Ascoli
Entella
Home Games
W
1-0
Cittadella
L
2-3
W
1-0
Pisa
D
1-1
D
2-2
Juve Stabia
W
2-0
D
1-1
Chievo
D
1-1
L
1-3
Cremonese
D
1-1
L
0-1
Perugia
L
0-2
D
1-1
Crotone
L
1-2
W
3-2
Salernitana
W
1-0
W
1-0
Empoli
W
2-0
L
2-4
Benevento
L
0-4
L
0-2
Lecce
L
1-5
W
2-1
Reggiana
L
0-2
Away Games
L
2-1
Empoli
W
2-4
L
2-1
Pordenone
L
2-0
L
3-1
Trapani
L
4-1
W
0-3
Livorno
D
4-4
L
3-1
Spezia
D
0-0
L
2-1
Venezia
D
2-2
W
0-1
Cosenza
L
2-1
W
1-2
Cittadella
W
1-3
L
1-0
Pisa
W
0-2
D
1-1
Brescia
D
2-2
L
1-0
Frosinone
L
1-0


Winner: Ascoli - 48%, Entella - 35%, Draw 17%
Score prediction: 1.48 vs 1.39
O/U 2.5: OVER (50%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (59%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
It looks like a game where both teams have similar chances to win and score. Ascoli has gained 1 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses from the last 8 games. Last 5 HOME games show us 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses. Their last game at HOME was on 31. October against Pordenone, resulting in away win (0-1). Looking at the last 8 games of Entella we see 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. Last 2 AWAY games show us 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses. Most recent AWAY game was on 31. October against Brescia and this one ended with draw (2-2). Taking all of this into consideration, we see two teams with very similar stats and a possible DRAW. Our football prediction for 1X2: pick DRAW!

This is a game between Low ranking Ascoli and Low ranking Entella. Ascoli's last 10 HOME games against Low ranking teams show 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses. Meanwhile Entella AWAY performance against Low ranking teams shows 1 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from last 8 AWAY games. Ascoli's scoring ability is 1.2 goals scored per game vs Entella's 1.5. Defensive performance shows Ascoli with 2.1 and Entella with 1.5 goals conceded per game. If I consider all of the Ranking-based data and stats, I would say that Entella is a bit better and could win this match. Our football prediction for 1X2: Entella to win! Medium confidence.

From last 8 games of Ascoli we see 3 games going Over 2.5 Goals and 5 with Under 2.5 Goals. Last 8 games of Entella have seen 4 Overs and 4 Unders. Looking at the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Ascoli it has been 6 Overs and 4 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking to Entella. Entella has seen 4 Overs and 4 Unders in their last 8 AWAY games against teams with ranking close to Ascoli. Ascoli is scoring an average of 1 goals per game at home when Entella scores 1 goals per game away. This makes an average of 2 goals per match between the teams. Ascoli concedes 2.4 goals on average per game and Entella 1. Taking those numbers together we get a total of 3.4 goals conceded per match. From these averages, we expect to see 2.7 goals per match. History shows that 37.5% of games end Over 2.5 for Ascoli and 50% for Entella. Taking all of the Over/Under 2.5 facts into consideration, it could be OVER 2.5 goals game! Under Over 2.5 prediction: back OVER 2.5! Medium stakes.

From Ascoli's last 8 encounters 4 have been with both teams scoring a goal and 4 only one team scoring or no goals at all. From Entella's last 8 games, it is 5 with both teams scoring and 3 with only one team/no score. Considering the rank-based BTTS stats, Ascoli had 7 games where both teams scored and 3 where at least one did not. For Entella, we have seen 6 BTTS YES and 2 NO's. There is a 50% chance of Ascoli scoring today and 62.5% for Entella scoring today. Probability of conceding a goal is 100% for Ascoli and 87.5% for Entella. Looking at the numbers, we predict that it will be a game where BOTH TEAMS SCORE. Football prediction for BTTS: bet on BTTS-YES! High confidence.