Lecco vs Pergolettese - 3:2 (Home Win)

Italy - Serie C - Group A - 22. Nov 2020 16:00

FREE Soccer Prediction 2-0
Both Teams Score? No
Under or Over 2.5 Under

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (52.1%)
Draw (27%)

BETTING ODDS

Tipsters with correct prediction for this game:

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Last games of Lecco

W
W
D
L
D
L
W
W
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
15. Nov Win (1-2) Grosseto - Lecco Serie C - Group A 
11. Nov Win (1-0) Lecco - Novara Serie C - Group A 
7. Nov Lose (2-0) Renate - Lecco Serie C - Group A 
1. Nov Draw (1-1) Juventus U23 - Lecco Serie C - Group A 
25. Oct Lose (2-4) Lecco - Piacenza Serie C - Group A 
17. Oct Draw (0-0) Lecco - Carrarese Serie C - Group A 
11. Oct Win (0-3) Como - Lecco Serie C - Group A 
7. Oct Win (2-1) Lecco - Alessandria Serie C - Group A 

Last games of Pergolettese

D
D
W
D
L
L
W
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
25. Nov Lose (1-2) Pergolettese - Pro Vercelli Serie C - Group A 
11. Nov Win (1-4) Olbia - Pergolettese Serie C - Group A 
1. Nov Lose (3-2) Livorno - Pergolettese Serie C - Group A 
25. Oct Lose (1-2) Pergolettese - Pro Patria Serie C - Group A 
22. Oct Draw (0-0) Como - Pergolettese Serie C - Group A 
18. Oct Win (1-0) Pergolettese - Pro Sesto Serie C - Group A 
7. Oct Draw (1-1) Pistoiese - Pergolettese Serie C - Group A 
30. Jun Draw (3-3) Pergolettese - Pianese Serie C - Play Out 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Lecco
Pergolettese
50%
Wins
25%
25%
Losses
37.5%
25 %
Draws
37.5 %
1.38
Goals scored per match
1.63
1.13
Goals conceded per match
1.5
1.25
Goals scored HOME
1.5
1.25
Goals conceded HOME
1.75
1.5
Goals scored AWAY
1.75
1
Goals conceded AWAY
1.25
75%
Chance to score goal next match
87.5%
62.5%
Chance to concede goal next match
75%
25%
Failure to score matches
12.5%
37.5%
Clean sheets
25%
50%
Matches over 2.5 goals
62.5%
12.5%
Matches over 3.5 goals
37.5%
1.5
Average Win margin
2
2
Average Loss margin
1
50 %
Both teams score YES
75 %
50 %
Both teams score NO
25 %
50 %
Matches ODD score
62.5 %
50 %
Matches EVEN score
37.5 %
3.13
Average win odd 1X2
2.74
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
50%
Matches WON as Favorite
50%
50%
Matches LOST as Favorite
50%
75%
Matches WON as Underdog
33.33%
25%
Matches LOST as Underdog
66.67%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Lecco (Medium Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
VS
Pergolettese (Medium Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
1.9
Goals Scored
1.1
1.3
Goals Conceded
1.6
60% (6)
WON
20% (2)
10% (1)
LOST
40% (4)
30% (3)
DRAW
40% (4)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Grosseto
54
2.
Pro Sesto
54
3.
Alessandria
50
4.
Juventus U23
49
5.
AlbinoLeffe
49
6.
Renate
48
7.
Lucchese
47
8.
Lecco
47
9.
Carrarese
45
10.
Pro Patria
44
11.
Pro Vercelli
43
12.
Pergolettese
42
13.
Como
42
14.
Piacenza
41
15.
Olbia
41
16.
Novara
41
17.
Pistoiese
39
18.
Giana Erminio
39
19.
Pontedera
38
20.
Livorno
35
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Lecco
Pergolettese
Home Games
W
3-2
Novara
D
2-2
W
2-1
Alessandria
W
2-1
Away Games
W
0-2
Gozzano
W
0-1
L
4-1
Pontedera
D
2-2
D
0-0
Pistoiese
D
0-0
D
2-2
Livorno
L
3-2
W
0-3
Como
D
0-0
L
2-0
Renate
W
1-2


Winner: Lecco - 50%, Pergolettese - 25%, Draw 25%
Score prediction: 1.38 vs 1.38
O/U 2.5: OVER (63%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (56%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
Likely, its gonna be an open and one-sided game where the favorite takes the win. Lets have a look at the basic past data: Lecco has collected 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 8 games. Meanwhile their last 4 HOME games shown 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. Their last HOME game was on 11. November against Novara and it ended with home win (1-0). If we look at the last 8 games of Pergolettese, we note 2 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses. Last 5 AWAY games are following: 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses. Most recent AWAY game was on 11. November vs Olbia and the outcome was away win (1-4). Looking at the data above, we at hintwise.com see Lecco being much stronger and will most likely take the win. Our football prediction for 1X2: Lecco to win! High confidence.

This is a game between Medium ranking Lecco and Medium ranking Pergolettese. Lecco's last 10 HOME games against Medium ranking teams show 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. Meanwhile Pergolettese AWAY performance against Medium ranking teams shows 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Lecco's attacking performance shows us an average of 1.6 goals per game vs Pergolettese's 0.8. Rank-based (against similar ranking teams) defense power shows Lecco with 1.3 and Pergolettese with 1.2 goals conceded per game. Looking at the the Rank-based (performace against similar ranking teams) factors, our analysts see Lecco being stronger and most likely winning this game. Our football prediction for 1X2: Lecco to win! High confidence.

When we look at the last 8 games of Lecco, we note 4 Overs and 4 Unders. Among the last 8 games of Pergolettese, there have been 4 Overs and 4 Unders. Considering the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Lecco we see 5 Overs and 5 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking and performace as Pergolettese. Pergolettese has seen 5 Overs and 5 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with similar ranking and performance as Lecco has. Lecco is averaging 1.25 goals in their home games while Pergolettese makes about 1.4 goals away from home. Taking both numbers together we get 2.65 goals per match between the teams. Lecco concedes 1.25 goals on average and Pergolettese 1. Both teams´s stats combined, we get a total of 2.25 goals conceded per match. With these statistics, we guess a total score of 2.5 goals per match. History shows that 50% of games end Over 2.5 for Lecco and 50% for Pergolettese. When trying to give a proper Over/Under 2.5 football prediction , I would say it will end up being OVER 2.5 match. Under Over 2.5 prediction: back OVER 2.5! High stakes.

From Lecco's last 8 encounters 4 have been with both teams scoring a goal and 4 only one team scoring or no goals at all. From Pergolettese's last 8 games, it is 5 with both teams scoring and 3 with only one team/no score. Considering the rank-based BTTS stats, Lecco had 6 games where both teams scored and 4 where at least one did not. For Pergolettese, we have seen 4 BTTS YES and 6 NO's. There is a 75% chance of Lecco scoring today and 75% for Pergolettese scoring today. Probability of conceding a goal is 62.5% for Lecco and 62.5% for Pergolettese. Looking at the numbers, we predict that it is going to be a game where BOTH TEAMS have a great chance to score and thus the best BTTS football prediction would be BOTH TEAMS to Score. High stakes.