Lucchese vs Giana Erminio - 0:1 (Away Win)

Italy - Serie C - Group A - 22. Nov 2020 16:00

FREE Soccer Prediction 1-1
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Under

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (38.7%)
Draw (30%)
Away (31.3%)

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Last games of Lucchese

W
D
W
L
L
L
L
D
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
18. Nov Draw (0-0) Olbia - Lucchese Serie C - Group A 
25. Oct Lose (0-1) Lucchese - Juventus U23 Serie C - Group A 
22. Oct Lose (3-0) Pro Patria - Lucchese Serie C - Group A 
11. Oct Lose (2-1) Pro Vercelli - Lucchese Serie C - Group A 
7. Oct Lose (0-2) Lucchese - Grosseto Serie C - Group A 
23. Feb Win (1-0) Lucchese - Ligorna Serie D - Group A 
9. Feb Draw (1-1) Lucchese - Casale Serie D - Group A 
26. Jan Win (2-0) Lucchese - Ghivizzano Borgo Serie D - Group A 

Last games of Giana Erminio

D
L
L
D
W
L
L
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
18. Nov Lose (4-0) Pro Vercelli - Giana Erminio Serie C - Group A 
15. Nov Lose (2-3) Giana Erminio - Pontedera Serie C - Group A 
11. Nov Lose (3-0) Livorno - Giana Erminio Serie C - Group A 
25. Oct Win (2-1) Giana Erminio - Como Serie C - Group A 
18. Oct Draw (1-1) Giana Erminio - Alessandria Serie C - Group A 
7. Oct Lose (2-1) Novara - Giana Erminio Serie C - Group A 
3. Oct Lose (1-2) Giana Erminio - Juventus U23 Serie C - Group A 
30. Jun Draw (1-1) Giana Erminio - Olbia Serie C - Play Out 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Lucchese
Giana Erminio
25%
Wins
12.5%
50%
Losses
62.5%
25 %
Draws
25 %
0.63
Goals scored per match
1
1.13
Goals conceded per match
2.13
0.8
Goals scored HOME
1.4
0.8
Goals conceded HOME
1.6
0.33
Goals scored AWAY
0.33
1.67
Goals conceded AWAY
3
50%
Chance to score goal next match
75%
62.5%
Chance to concede goal next match
100%
50%
Failure to score matches
25%
37.5%
Clean sheets
0%
25%
Matches over 2.5 goals
75%
0%
Matches over 3.5 goals
25%
1.5
Average Win margin
1
1.75
Average Loss margin
2
25 %
Both teams score YES
75 %
75 %
Both teams score NO
25 %
50 %
Matches ODD score
62.5 %
50 %
Matches EVEN score
37.5 %
2.31
Average win odd 1X2
2.41
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
50%
Matches WON as Favorite
50%
50%
Matches LOST as Favorite
50%
0%
Matches WON as Underdog
0%
100%
Matches LOST as Underdog
100%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Lucchese (Medium Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Low Ranking teams
VS
Giana Erminio (Low Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
1
Goals Scored
1
0.5
Goals Conceded
1.5
70% (7)
WON
20% (2)
30% (3)
LOST
50% (5)
0% (0)
DRAW
30% (3)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Pro Sesto
54
2.
Grosseto
53
3.
Alessandria
50
4.
Juventus U23
49
5.
AlbinoLeffe
49
6.
Lucchese
49
7.
Renate
48
8.
Lecco
47
9.
Pro Vercelli
45
10.
Pergolettese
45
11.
Carrarese
45
12.
Pro Patria
44
13.
Novara
41
14.
Piacenza
41
15.
Olbia
41
16.
Como
39
17.
Pistoiese
39
18.
Pontedera
38
19.
Giana Erminio
38
20.
Livorno
35
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Lucchese
Giana Erminio
Home Games
L
0-1
Juventus U23
L
1-2
Away Games
D
0-0
Olbia
L
1-0
L
2-1
Pro Vercelli
L
4-0


Winner: Lucchese - 67%, Giana Erminio - 0%, Draw 33%
Score prediction: 1.33 vs 0.67
O/U 2.5: OVER (50%)

Both Teams Socre?: NO (67%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
Looking at the odds provided by major bookmakers, this game tends to be a close match with most probably at least 2.5+ goals scored. Looking at the historical data, Lucchese has collected 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 8 matches. Last 5 games at their HOME stadium shown us 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. Last HOME game was on 25. October against Juventus U23 with the result away win (0-1). Looking at the last 8 games of Giana Erminio we see 1 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses. Last 3 AWAY games show us 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses. Most recent AWAY game was on 18. November against Pro Vercelli and this one ended with home win (4-0). Taking all of this into consideration, we see two similar-performing teams and a likely chance of DRAW. Our football tip for 1X2: bet on DRAW!

This will be a match involving Medium ranking team Lucchese and Low ranking team Giana Erminio. Lucchese's last 10 HOME games against Low ranking teams show 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. At the same time Giana Erminio AWAY performance against Medium ranking teams shows 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Lucchese's scoring ability is 1 goals scored per game vs Giana Erminio's 0.9. Defensive performance shows Lucchese with 0.4 and Giana Erminio with 2 goals conceded per game. If I consider all of the Ranking-based data and stats, I would say Lucchese being stronger and most likely winning this game. Our football prediction for 1X2: Lucchese to win! High confidence.

Last 8 games of Lucchese show us 2 Over 2.5 Goals and 6 Under 2.5 Goals. Last 8 matches of Giana Erminio have seen 6 Over 2.5´s and 2 Under 2.5´s. When we look at the ranking-based O/U 2.5 stats of Lucchese it shows us 2 Overs and 8 Unders in the last 10 HOME games against teams who perform in similar way and who have same ranking as Giana Erminio. Giana Erminio has had 6 Over 2.5´s and 4 Under 2.5´s in their last 10 AWAY encounters against teams with ranking nearly the same as Lucchese. Lucchese scores an average 0.8 goals each game at home stadium while Giana Erminio has been scoring 0.33 goals away. With these facts combined, we get a total average of 1.13 goals per match between both teams. Lucchese concedes 0.8 goals on average and Giana Erminio 3 for a total of 3.8 goals conceded per match. From all this info, we expect about 2.5 goals per match. History shows that 25% of games end Over 2.5 for Lucchese and 75% for Giana Erminio. Considering the OU 2.5 numbers and stats, it might end with an OVER 2.5 Under Over 2.5 tip: bet on OVER 2.5!Medium confidence.

From Lucchese's last 8 encounters 2 have been with both teams scoring a goal and 6 only one team scoring or no goals at all. From Giana Erminio's last 8 games, it is 6 with both teams scoring and 2 with only one team/no score. Considering the rank-based BTTS stats, Lucchese had 2 games where both teams scored and 8 where at least one did not. For Giana Erminio, we have seen 6 BTTS YES and 4 NO's. There is a 50% chance of Lucchese scoring today and 75% for Giana Erminio scoring today. Probability of conceding a goal is 62.5% for Lucchese and 100% for Giana Erminio. Looking at the numbers, we predict that it will probably be Both Teams to Score-YES match. Football tip for BTTS: pick BTTS-YES! Medium stakes.