Pontedera vs Pro Patria - 0:1 (Away Win)

Italy - Serie C - Group A - 22. Nov 2020 13:30

FREE Soccer Prediction 1-2
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Over

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (43.8%)
Draw (29.7%)
Away (26.5%)

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Last games of Pontedera

L
L
L
W
L
D
L
W
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
15. Nov Win (2-3) Giana Erminio - Pontedera Serie C - Group A 
8. Nov Lose (1-0) Pistoiese - Pontedera Serie C - Group A 
1. Nov Draw (0-0) Pontedera - Grosseto Serie C - Group A 
25. Oct Lose (2-0) Alessandria - Pontedera Serie C - Group A 
18. Oct Win (1-2) Novara - Pontedera Serie C - Group A 
11. Oct Lose (0-1) Pontedera - Renate Serie C - Group A 
7. Oct Lose (2-1) Carrarese - Pontedera Serie C - Group A 
23. Sep Lose (1-2) Pontedera - Arezzo Coppa Italia 

Last games of Pro Patria

D
L
W
W
L
W
L
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
18. Nov Lose (1-0) Como - Pro Patria Serie C - Group A 
15. Nov Lose (1-2) Pro Patria - AlbinoLeffe Serie C - Group A 
11. Nov Win (0-3) Piacenza - Pro Patria Serie C - Group A 
8. Nov Lose (1-2) Pro Patria - Pro Sesto Serie C - Group A 
25. Oct Win (1-2) Pergolettese - Pro Patria Serie C - Group A 
22. Oct Win (3-0) Pro Patria - Lucchese Serie C - Group A 
18. Oct Lose (1-0) Renate - Pro Patria Serie C - Group A 
11. Oct Draw (0-0) Pro Patria - Pistoiese Serie C - Group A 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Pontedera
Pro Patria
25%
Wins
37.5%
62.5%
Losses
50%
12.5 %
Draws
12.5 %
0.88
Goals scored per match
1.25
1.38
Goals conceded per match
0.88
0.33
Goals scored HOME
1.25
1
Goals conceded HOME
1
1.2
Goals scored AWAY
1.25
1.6
Goals conceded AWAY
0.75
50%
Chance to score goal next match
62.5%
87.5%
Chance to concede goal next match
62.5%
50%
Failure to score matches
37.5%
12.5%
Clean sheets
37.5%
50%
Matches over 2.5 goals
62.5%
12.5%
Matches over 3.5 goals
0%
1
Average Win margin
2.33
1.2
Average Loss margin
1
50 %
Both teams score YES
37.5 %
50 %
Both teams score NO
62.5 %
75 %
Matches ODD score
87.5 %
25 %
Matches EVEN score
12.5 %
2.69
Average win odd 1X2
2.7
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
0%
Matches WON as Favorite
33.33%
100%
Matches LOST as Favorite
66.67%
40%
Matches WON as Underdog
50%
60%
Matches LOST as Underdog
50%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Pontedera (Low Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
VS
Pro Patria (Medium Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Low Ranking teams
1.1
Goals Scored
1.6
1.2
Goals Conceded
0.5
30% (3)
WON
60% (6)
50% (5)
LOST
10% (1)
20% (2)
DRAW
30% (3)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Grosseto
54
2.
Pro Sesto
54
3.
Alessandria
50
4.
Juventus U23
49
5.
AlbinoLeffe
49
6.
Renate
48
7.
Lucchese
47
8.
Lecco
47
9.
Carrarese
45
10.
Pro Patria
44
11.
Pro Vercelli
43
12.
Pergolettese
42
13.
Como
42
14.
Piacenza
41
15.
Olbia
41
16.
Novara
41
17.
Pistoiese
39
18.
Giana Erminio
39
19.
Pontedera
38
20.
Livorno
35
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Pontedera
Pro Patria
Home Games
D
0-0
Juventus U23
W
3-2
L
1-2
Arezzo
L
0-1
Away Games
W
1-2
Pianese
D
1-1
D
1-1
Olbia
W
0-1
W
2-3
Giana Erminio
W
0-3


Winner: Pontedera - 20%, Pro Patria - 60%, Draw 20%
Score prediction: 1.1 vs 1.4
O/U 2.5: OVER (50%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (60%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
It looks like an open yet one-sided game. Looking at the historical data, Pontedera has collected 2 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in their last 8 matches. Last 3 games at their HOME stadium shown us 0 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. Last HOME game was on 1. November against Grosseto with the result draw (0-0). Last 8 matches of Pro Patria show us 3 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses. Last 4 AWAY games are: 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses. The last AWAY game was on 18. November against Como and that ended with home win (1-0). From this data, we see two similar-performing teams and a likely chance of DRAW. Our football tip for 1X2: bet on DRAW!

Expecting an interesting game between Low ranking Pontedera and Medium ranking team Pro Patria. Pontedera's last 10 HOME games against Medium ranking teams: 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. Pro Patria AWAY performance against Low ranking teams: 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Pontedera's scoring power is 1.3 goals per game vs Pro Patria's 1.6. Looking at the defensive side, Pontedera is performing 1.2 and Pro Patria 0.7 goals conceded on average per each game. Taking all the Ranking-based facts into account, we expect the victory of Pro Patria as they have a big advatage over Pontedera. Our football prediction for 1X2: Pro Patria to win! High confidence.

When we look at the last 8 games of Pontedera, we note 4 Overs and 4 Unders. Among the last 8 games of Pro Patria, there have been 5 Overs and 3 Unders. Considering the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Pontedera we see 6 Overs and 4 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking and performace as Pro Patria. Pro Patria has seen 6 Overs and 4 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with similar ranking and performance as Pontedera has. Pontedera is scoring an average of 0.33 goals per game at home when Pro Patria scores 1.25 goals per game away. This makes an average of 1.58 goals per match between the teams. Pontedera concedes 1 goals on average per game and Pro Patria 0.75. Taking those numbers together we get a total of 1.75 goals conceded per match. From these averages, we expect to see 1.7 goals per match. History shows that 50% of games end Over 2.5 for Pontedera and 62.5% for Pro Patria. Taking all of the Over/Under 2.5 facts into consideration, it could be OVER 2.5 goals game! Under Over 2.5 prediction: back OVER 2.5! Medium stakes.

Will both teams score or not? Looking at the Pontedera's last 8 games, we see 4 ´both teams scored´ and 4 ´only one team/no score´. From Pro Patria's last 8 games 3 have seen both teams scoring and 5 only one/no score. Looking at the rank-based BTTS stats, Pontedera had 6 BTTS YES and 4 NO's. For Pro Patria, we have seen 4 BTTS YES and 6 NO's. There is a 50% chance of Pontedera scoring in this game, the percent for Pro Patria is 62.5% . Probability of conceding a goal is 87.5% for Pontedera and 62.5% for Pro Patria. Looking at the stats above, it could be both teams scoring. Football tip for BTTS: pick BTTS-YES! Medium confidence.