Matelica vs Cesena - 2:2 (Draw)

Italy - Serie C - Group B - 22. Nov 2020 16:00

FREE Soccer Prediction 2-1
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Over

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (39.4%)
Draw (30.1%)
Away (30.5%)

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Last games of Matelica

D
L
W
D
L
W
W
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
15. Nov Lose (3-0) Padova - Matelica Serie C - Group B 
11. Nov Win (1-2) Legnago Salus - Matelica Serie C - Group B 
7. Nov Win (3-2) Matelica - Ravenna Serie C - Group B 
1. Nov Lose (1-0) Virtus Verona - Matelica Serie C - Group B 
25. Oct Draw (2-2) Matelica - Arezzo Serie C - Group B 
17. Oct Win (2-1) Matelica - Modena Serie C - Group B 
11. Oct Lose (2-1) Vis Pesaro - Matelica Serie C - Group B 
7. Oct Draw (1-1) Matelica - Sudtirol Serie C - Group B 

Last games of Cesena

D
W
W
L
W
L
D
W
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
15. Nov Win (4-0) Cesena - Ravenna Serie C - Group B 
7. Nov Draw (1-1) Cesena - Fermana Serie C - Group B 
24. Oct Lose (2-0) Carpi - Cesena Serie C - Group B 
18. Oct Win (1-2) Gubbio - Cesena Serie C - Group B 
11. Oct Lose (2-4) Cesena - FeralpiSalo Serie C - Group B 
8. Oct Win (1-2) Perugia - Cesena Serie C - Group B 
16. Feb Win (1-4) Imolese - Cesena Serie C - Group B 
9. Feb Draw (1-1) Cesena - Padova Serie C - Group B 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Matelica
Cesena
37.5%
Wins
50%
37.5%
Losses
25%
25 %
Draws
25 %
1.38
Goals scored per match
2
1.63
Goals conceded per match
1.38
2
Goals scored HOME
2
1.5
Goals conceded HOME
1.5
0.75
Goals scored AWAY
2
1.75
Goals conceded AWAY
1.25
75%
Chance to score goal next match
87.5%
100%
Chance to concede goal next match
87.5%
25%
Failure to score matches
12.5%
0%
Clean sheets
12.5%
75%
Matches over 2.5 goals
62.5%
25%
Matches over 3.5 goals
37.5%
1
Average Win margin
2.25
1.67
Average Loss margin
2
75 %
Both teams score YES
75 %
25 %
Both teams score NO
25 %
75 %
Matches ODD score
37.5 %
25 %
Matches EVEN score
62.5 %
2.52
Average win odd 1X2
2.98
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
100%
Matches WON as Favorite
100%
0%
Matches LOST as Favorite
0%
25%
Matches WON as Underdog
60%
75%
Matches LOST as Underdog
40%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Matelica (Medium Ranking) last 6 HOME games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
VS
Cesena (Medium Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
1.7
Goals Scored
1.6
1.2
Goals Conceded
1.8
33% (2)
WON
30% (3)
0% (0)
LOST
30% (3)
67% (4)
DRAW
40% (4)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Legnago Salus
53
2.
FeralpiSalo
52
3.
Padova
52
4.
Carpi
51
5.
Modena
50
6.
Triestina
50
7.
Sudtirol
47
8.
Mantova
47
9.
Matelica
46
10.
Sambenedettese
44
11.
Cesena
44
12.
Perugia
43
13.
Arezzo
42
14.
Fermana
42
15.
Virtus Verona
40
16.
Fano
38
17.
Gubbio
38
18.
Imolese
37
19.
Vis Pesaro
35
20.
Ravenna
30
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Matelica
Cesena
Home Games
W
3-1
FeralpiSalo
L
2-4
W
3-2
Ravenna
W
4-0
Away Games
L
2-1
Vis Pesaro
L
1-0


Winner: Matelica - 33%, Cesena - 33%, Draw 33%
Score prediction: 2 vs 1.83
O/U 2.5: OVER (83%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (67%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
Basic analysis suggest this game to be a goal-filled game where favourite probably takes the win. Looking at the historical data, Matelica has collected 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 8 matches. Last 4 games at their HOME stadium shown us 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses. Last HOME game was on 7. November against Ravenna with the result home win (3-2). Looking at the last 8 games of Cesena we see 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. Last 4 AWAY games show us 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses. Most recent AWAY game was on 24. October against Carpi and this one ended with home win (2-0). Taking all of this into consideration, we see Cesena having a little bit better chance to WIN. Our football prediction for 1X2: pick Cesena! Medium confidence.

This will be a match involving Medium ranking team Matelica and Medium ranking team Cesena. Matelica's last 5 HOME games against Medium ranking teams show 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses. At the same time Cesena AWAY performance against Medium ranking teams shows 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Matelica's scoring power is 1.6 goals per game vs Cesena's 1.4. Looking at the defensive side, Matelica is performing 1 and Cesena 1.7 goals conceded on average per each game. Taking all the Ranking-based facts into account, we expect Matelica being stronger and most likely winning this game. Our football prediction for 1X2: Matelica to win! High confidence.

From last 8 games of Matelica we see 6 games going Over 2.5 Goals and 2 with Under 2.5 Goals. Last 8 games of Cesena have seen 5 Overs and 3 Unders. Looking at the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Matelica it has been 3 Overs and 2 Unders in their last 5 HOME games against teams with similar ranking to Cesena. Cesena has seen 6 Overs and 4 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with ranking close to Matelica. Matelica scores an average 2 goals each game at home stadium while Cesena has been scoring 2 goals away. With these facts combined, we get a total average of 4 goals per match between both teams. Matelica concedes 1.5 goals on average and Cesena 1.25 for a total of 2.75 goals conceded per match. From all this info, we expect about 3.4 goals per match. History shows that 75% of games end Over 2.5 for Matelica and 62.5% for Cesena. Considering the OU 2.5 numbers and stats, it will end up being OVER 2.5 match. Under Over 2.5 prediction: back OVER 2.5! High stakes.

Matelica's last 8 matches show us 6 games where both teams scored and 2 games where only one team scored or none. From Cesena's last 8 games 6 have seen both teams scoring and 2 only one team/no score. Ranking-based BTS stats of Matelica show us 4 BTS YES and 1 NO's. For Cesena, we have seen 7 BTS YES and 3 NO's. There is a 75% chance of Matelica scoring today, 87.5% for Cesena. Probability of conceding a goal is 100% for Matelica and 87.5% for Cesena. Considering all the numbers, it is going to be a game where BOTH TEAMS have a great chance to score and thus the best BTTS football prediction would be BOTH TEAMS to Score. High stakes.