Perugia vs Fermana - 2:0 (Home Win)

Italy - Serie C - Group B (soccer) 18. Oct 2020 15:00
FREE Soccer Prediction 2-0
Both Teams Score? No
Under or Over 2.5 Under

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (59.4%)
Draw (24.1%)

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Last games of Perugia

D
W
L
L
L
D
W
W
L
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
11. Oct Lose (5-1) Mantova - Perugia Serie C - Group B 
8. Oct Lose (1-2) Perugia - Cesena Serie C - Group B 
5. Oct Win (0-1) Arezzo - Perugia Serie C - Group B 
30. Sep Win (1-4) Ascoli - Perugia Coppa Italia 
14. Aug Draw (2-2) Perugia - Pescara Serie B 
10. Aug Lose (2-1) Pescara - Perugia Serie B 
31. Jul Lose (3-1) Venezia - Perugia Serie B 
27. Jul Lose (1-2) Perugia - Trapani Serie B 
24. Jul Win (0-2) Entella - Perugia Serie B 
17. Jul Draw (0-0) Perugia - Cremonese Serie B 

Last games of Fermana

D
L
L
D
W
W
W
D
D
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
11. Oct Lose (0-1) Fermana - Padova Serie C - Group B 
7. Oct Draw (1-1) Sambenedettese - Fermana Serie C - Group B 
22. Feb Draw (1-1) Fermana - Vis Pesaro Serie C - Group B 
16. Feb Win (0-1) Padova - Fermana Serie C - Group B 
9. Feb Win (2-1) Fermana - Sudtirol Serie C - Group B 
3. Feb Win (0-1) Sambenedettese - Fermana Serie C - Group B 
26. Jan Draw (1-1) Fermana - Piacenza Serie C - Group B 
22. Jan Lose (1-0) Ravenna - Fermana Serie C - Group B 
18. Jan Lose (1-0) FeralpiSalo - Fermana Serie C - Group B 
12. Jan Draw (0-0) Fermana - L.R. Vicenza Serie C - Group B 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Perugia
Fermana
30%
Wins
30%
50%
Losses
30%
20 %
Draws
40 %
1.4
Goals scored per match
0.7
1.7
Goals conceded per match
0.7
1
Goals scored HOME
0.8
1.5
Goals conceded HOME
0.8
1.67
Goals scored AWAY
0.6
1.83
Goals conceded AWAY
0.6
90%
Chance to score goal next match
60%
70%
Chance to concede goal next match
70%
10%
Failure to score matches
40%
30%
Clean sheets
30%
70%
Matches over 2.5 goals
10%
40%
Matches over 3.5 goals
0%
2
Average Win margin
1
1.8
Average Loss margin
1
70 %
Both teams score YES
40 %
30 %
Both teams score NO
60 %
50 %
Matches ODD score
60 %
50 %
Matches EVEN score
40 %
3.23
Average win odd 1X2
3.01
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
25%
Matches WON as Favorite
0%
75%
Matches LOST as Favorite
0%
50%
Matches WON as Underdog
50%
50%
Matches LOST as Underdog
50%
SIMILAR RANKING ANALYSIS
Perugia (Low Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Low Ranking teams
VS
Fermana (Low Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Low Ranking teams
36
Ranking Score
38
1.6
Goals Scored
0.8
1
Goals Conceded
1.1
50% (5)
Games WON
40% (4)
30% (3)
Games LOST
40% (4)
20% (2)
DRAWS
20% (2)
VIEW ALL GAMES
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Legnago Salus
70
2.
Mantova
55
3.
Carpi
54
4.
FeralpiSalo
50
5.
Padova
49
6.
Modena
48
7.
Sudtirol
47
8.
Matelica
47
9.
Triestina
47
10.
Cesena
43
11.
Arezzo
43
12.
Virtus Verona
40
13.
Sambenedettese
38
14.
Fermana
38
15.
Imolese
38
16.
Vis Pesaro
38
17.
Gubbio
37
18.
Perugia
36
19.
Fano
35
20.
Ravenna
29
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BOTBET - Football Predictions

Football Tips Comparison
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
Looking at the odds provided by major bookmakers, this game tends to be an interesting and tight game. Looking at the historical data, Perugia has collected 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 10 matches. Last 4 games at their HOME stadium shown us 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. Last HOME game was on 8. October against Cesena with the result away win (1-2). Looking at the last 10 games of Fermana we see 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses. Last 5 AWAY games show us 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. Most recent AWAY game was on 7. October against Sambenedettese and this one ended with draw (1-1). Taking all of this into consideration, we see two teams with very similar stats and a possible DRAW. Our football prediction for 1X2: pick DRAW!

This will be a match involving Low ranking team Perugia and Low ranking team Fermana. Perugia's last 10 HOME games against Low ranking teams show 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. At the same time Fermana AWAY performance against Low ranking teams shows 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Perugia's scoring power is 1.4 goals per game vs Fermana's 0.9. Looking at the defensive side, Perugia is performing 1 and Fermana 0.9 goals conceded on average per each game. Taking all the Ranking-based facts into account, we expect both teams being equal and a possible DRAW here. Our football prediction for 1X2: pick DRAW!

When we look at the last 10 games of Perugia, we note 7 Overs and 3 Unders. Among the last 10 games of Fermana, there have been 1 Overs and 9 Unders. Considering the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Perugia we see 5 Overs and 5 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking and performace as Fermana. Fermana has seen 1 Overs and 9 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with similar ranking and performance as Perugia has. Perugia scores an average 1 goals each game at home stadium while Fermana has been scoring 0.6 goals away. With these facts combined, we get a total average of 1.6 goals per match between both teams. Perugia concedes 1.5 goals on average and Fermana 0.6 for a total of 2.1 goals conceded per match. From all this info, we expect about 1.9 goals per match. History shows that 70% of games end Over 2.5 for Perugia and 10% for Fermana. Considering the OU 2.5 numbers and stats, it is possibly a match where we see UNDER 2.5 goals scored. Under Over 2.5 prediction: pick UNDER 2.5! Medium confidence.

Will both teams score or not? Looking at the Perugia's last 10 games, we see 7 ´both teams scored´ and 3 ´only one team/no score´. From Fermana's last 10 games 4 have seen both teams scoring and 6 only one/no score. Looking at the rank-based BTTS stats, Perugia had 6 BTTS YES and 4 NO's. For Fermana, we have seen 3 BTTS YES and 7 NO's. There is a 90% chance of Perugia scoring in this game, the percent for Fermana is 60% . Probability of conceding a goal is 70% for Perugia and 70% for Fermana. Looking at the stats above, it will probably be Both Teams to Score-YES match. Football tip for BTTS: pick BTTS-YES! Medium stakes.