Triestina vs Fermana - 3:1 (Home Win)

Italy - Serie C - Group B - 22. Nov 2020 15:00

FREE Soccer Prediction 2-0
Both Teams Score? No
Under or Over 2.5 Under

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (53.5%)
Draw (26.6%)

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Last games of Triestina

W
L
W
D
D
W
L
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
25. Nov Lose (1-0) Gubbio - Triestina Serie C - Group B 
15. Nov Lose (2-1) FeralpiSalo - Triestina Serie C - Group B 
11. Nov Win (1-0) Triestina - Imolese Serie C - Group B 
31. Oct Draw (2-2) Arezzo - Triestina Serie C - Group B 
25. Oct Draw (1-1) Triestina - Virtus Verona Serie C - Group B 
17. Oct Win (2-1) Triestina - Ravenna Serie C - Group B 
11. Oct Lose (3-0) Legnago Salus - Triestina Serie C - Group B 
7. Oct Win (1-0) Triestina - Modena Serie C - Group B 

Last games of Fermana

D
D
L
L
W
L
D
D
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
11. Nov Draw (0-0) Fermana - Fano Serie C - Group B 
7. Nov Draw (1-1) Cesena - Fermana Serie C - Group B 
1. Nov Lose (0-1) Fermana - Carpi Serie C - Group B 
25. Oct Win (0-1) Imolese - Fermana Serie C - Group B 
18. Oct Lose (2-0) Perugia - Fermana Serie C - Group B 
11. Oct Lose (0-1) Fermana - Padova Serie C - Group B 
7. Oct Draw (1-1) Sambenedettese - Fermana Serie C - Group B 
22. Feb Draw (1-1) Fermana - Vis Pesaro Serie C - Group B 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Triestina
Fermana
37.5%
Wins
12.5%
37.5%
Losses
37.5%
25 %
Draws
50 %
1
Goals scored per match
0.5
1.25
Goals conceded per match
0.88
1.25
Goals scored HOME
0.25
0.5
Goals conceded HOME
0.75
0.75
Goals scored AWAY
0.75
2
Goals conceded AWAY
1
75%
Chance to score goal next match
50%
75%
Chance to concede goal next match
75%
25%
Failure to score matches
50%
25%
Clean sheets
25%
50%
Matches over 2.5 goals
0%
12.5%
Matches over 3.5 goals
0%
1
Average Win margin
1
1.67
Average Loss margin
1.33
50 %
Both teams score YES
37.5 %
50 %
Both teams score NO
62.5 %
75 %
Matches ODD score
37.5 %
25 %
Matches EVEN score
62.5 %
2.49
Average win odd 1X2
2.77
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
60%
Matches WON as Favorite
0%
40%
Matches LOST as Favorite
100%
0%
Matches WON as Underdog
33.33%
100%
Matches LOST as Underdog
66.67%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Triestina (Medium Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
VS
Fermana (Medium Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
1.6
Goals Scored
0.7
0.6
Goals Conceded
1.7
60% (6)
WON
20% (2)
20% (2)
LOST
50% (5)
20% (2)
DRAW
30% (3)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Legnago Salus
53
2.
FeralpiSalo
52
3.
Padova
52
4.
Carpi
51
5.
Modena
50
6.
Triestina
50
7.
Sudtirol
47
8.
Mantova
47
9.
Matelica
46
10.
Sambenedettese
44
11.
Cesena
44
12.
Perugia
43
13.
Arezzo
42
14.
Fermana
42
15.
Virtus Verona
40
16.
Gubbio
38
17.
Fano
38
18.
Imolese
37
19.
Vis Pesaro
35
20.
Ravenna
30
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Triestina
Fermana
Home Games
W
4-0
Vis Pesaro
D
1-1
Away Games
L
2-0
Gubbio
W
0-1
L
2-1
FeralpiSalo
L
1-0
D
1-1
Imolese
W
0-1


Winner: Triestina - 25%, Fermana - 50%, Draw 25%
Score prediction: 1 vs 1
O/U 2.5:
UNDER (75%)

Both Teams Socre?: NO (63%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
I am expecting this to be an open yet one-sided game. Triestina has collected 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses during last 8 games. Last 4 HOME games show 3 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses. Their last HOME game was on 11. November against Imolese and it ended up home win (1-0). If we look at the last 8 games of Fermana, we note 1 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses. Last 4 AWAY games are following: 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. Most recent AWAY game was on 7. November vs Cesena and the outcome was draw (1-1). Looking at the data above, we at hintwise.com see Triestina being somewhat superior and probably wins the match. Our football prediction for 1X2: Triestina to win! Medium confidence.

This is a game between Medium ranking Triestina and Medium ranking Fermana. Triestina's last 10 HOME games against Medium ranking teams show 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. Meanwhile Fermana AWAY performance against Medium ranking teams shows 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Triestina's scoring power is 1.4 goals per game vs Fermana's 0.7. Looking at the defensive side, Triestina is performing 0.5 and Fermana 1.4 goals conceded on average per each game. Taking all the Ranking-based facts into account, we expect Triestina being stronger and most likely winning this game. Our football prediction for 1X2: Triestina to win! High confidence.

From last 8 games of Triestina we see 5 games going Over 2.5 Goals and 3 with Under 2.5 Goals. Last 8 games of Fermana have seen 0 Overs and 8 Unders. Looking at the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Triestina it has been 3 Overs and 7 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking to Fermana. Fermana has seen 2 Overs and 8 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with ranking close to Triestina. Triestina scores an average 1.25 goals each game at home stadium while Fermana has been scoring 0.75 goals away. With these facts combined, we get a total average of 2 goals per match between both teams. Triestina concedes 0.5 goals on average and Fermana 1 for a total of 1.5 goals conceded per match. From all this info, we expect about 1.8 goals per match. History shows that 62.5% of games end Over 2.5 for Triestina and 0% for Fermana. Considering the OU 2.5 numbers and stats, it is possiblyUNDER 2.5 GOALS match. Under Over 2.5 tip: bet on UNDER 2.5! Medium stakes.

From Triestina's last 8 encounters 4 have been with both teams scoring a goal and 4 only one team scoring or no goals at all. From Fermana's last 8 games, it is 3 with both teams scoring and 5 with only one team/no score. Considering the rank-based BTTS stats, Triestina had 3 games where both teams scored and 7 where at least one did not. For Fermana, we have seen 4 BTTS YES and 6 NO's. There is a 75% chance of Triestina scoring today and 50% for Fermana scoring today. Probability of conceding a goal is 75% for Triestina and 75% for Fermana. Looking at the numbers, we predict that it is quite unclear if BTTS-YES or NO. Hard to predict anything. Football prediction for BTTS: no bet!