Vis Pesaro vs Carpi - 3:2 (Home Win)

Italy - Serie C - Group B - 22. Nov 2020 18:30

FREE Soccer Prediction 1-1
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Under

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (34%)
Draw (30.4%)
Away (35.6%)

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Last games of Vis Pesaro

L
D
W
D
L
W
L
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
14. Nov Lose (2-0) Sambenedettese - Vis Pesaro Serie C - Group B 
8. Nov Lose (1-0) FeralpiSalo - Vis Pesaro Serie C - Group B 
1. Nov Win (1-0) Vis Pesaro - Gubbio Serie C - Group B 
25. Oct Lose (2-1) Perugia - Vis Pesaro Serie C - Group B 
17. Oct Draw (0-0) Virtus Verona - Vis Pesaro Serie C - Group B 
11. Oct Win (2-1) Vis Pesaro - Matelica Serie C - Group B 
22. Feb Draw (1-1) Fermana - Vis Pesaro Serie C - Group B 
16. Feb Lose (4-0) Triestina - Vis Pesaro Serie C - Group B 

Last games of Carpi

D
L
W
W
W
D
L
D
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
15. Nov Draw (0-0) Carpi - Perugia Serie C - Group B 
11. Nov Lose (2-1) Modena - Carpi Serie C - Group B 
7. Nov Draw (0-0) Carpi - Legnago Salus Serie C - Group B 
1. Nov Win (0-1) Fermana - Carpi Serie C - Group B 
24. Oct Win (2-0) Carpi - Cesena Serie C - Group B 
18. Oct Win (4-1) Carpi - Arezzo Serie C - Group B 
11. Oct Lose (2-1) Imolese - Carpi Serie C - Group B 
7. Oct Draw (0-0) Carpi - Fano Serie C - Group B 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Vis Pesaro
Carpi
25%
Wins
37.5%
50%
Losses
25%
25 %
Draws
37.5 %
0.63
Goals scored per match
1.13
1.38
Goals conceded per match
0.63
1.5
Goals scored HOME
1.2
0.5
Goals conceded HOME
0.2
0.33
Goals scored AWAY
1
1.67
Goals conceded AWAY
1.33
50%
Chance to score goal next match
62.5%
75%
Chance to concede goal next match
37.5%
50%
Failure to score matches
37.5%
25%
Clean sheets
62.5%
37.5%
Matches over 2.5 goals
37.5%
12.5%
Matches over 3.5 goals
12.5%
1
Average Win margin
2
2
Average Loss margin
1
37.5 %
Both teams score YES
37.5 %
62.5 %
Both teams score NO
62.5 %
50 %
Matches ODD score
50 %
50 %
Matches EVEN score
50 %
2.26
Average win odd 1X2
2.65
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
100%
Matches WON as Favorite
100%
0%
Matches LOST as Favorite
0%
0%
Matches WON as Underdog
33.33%
100%
Matches LOST as Underdog
66.67%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Vis Pesaro (Low Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against High Ranking teams
VS
Carpi (High Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Low Ranking teams
1.1
Goals Scored
1.3
1.3
Goals Conceded
1.2
40% (4)
WON
50% (5)
50% (5)
LOST
40% (4)
10% (1)
DRAW
10% (1)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Legnago Salus
53
2.
FeralpiSalo
52
3.
Padova
52
4.
Carpi
51
5.
Modena
50
6.
Triestina
50
7.
Sudtirol
47
8.
Mantova
47
9.
Matelica
46
10.
Sambenedettese
44
11.
Cesena
44
12.
Perugia
43
13.
Arezzo
42
14.
Fermana
42
15.
Virtus Verona
40
16.
Fano
38
17.
Gubbio
38
18.
Imolese
37
19.
Vis Pesaro
35
20.
Ravenna
30
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Vis Pesaro
Carpi
Home Games
W
1-0
Cesena
W
2-0
Away Games
D
1-1
Fermana
W
0-1
L
3-1
Modena
L
2-1


Winner: Vis Pesaro - 0%, Carpi - 100%
Score prediction: 0.83 vs 1.33
O/U 2.5:
UNDER (67%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (50%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
We expect to see a close match with most probably at least 2.5+ goals scored. Lets have a look at the basic past data: Vis Pesaro has collected 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 8 games. Meanwhile their last 2 HOME games shown 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses. Their last HOME game was on 1. November against Gubbio and it ended with home win (1-0). If we look at the last 8 games of Carpi, we note 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. Last 3 AWAY games are following: 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses. Most recent AWAY game was on 11. November vs Modena and the outcome was home win (2-1). Looking at the data above, we at hintwise.com see both teams being equal and a possible DRAW here. Our football prediction for 1X2: pick DRAW!

Expecting an interesting game between Low ranking Vis Pesaro and High ranking team Carpi. Vis Pesaro's last 10 HOME games against High ranking teams: 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses. Carpi AWAY performance against Low ranking teams: 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Vis Pesaro's attacking performance shows us an average of 0.8 goals per game vs Carpi's 1.5. Rank-based (against similar ranking teams) defense power shows Vis Pesaro with 1.2 and Carpi with 1.3 goals conceded per game. Looking at the the Rank-based (performace against similar ranking teams) factors, our analysts see the victory of Carpi as they have a big advatage over Vis Pesaro. Our football prediction for 1X2: Carpi to win! High confidence.

From last 8 games of Vis Pesaro we see 3 games going Over 2.5 Goals and 5 with Under 2.5 Goals. Last 8 games of Carpi have seen 3 Overs and 5 Unders. Looking at the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Vis Pesaro it has been 4 Overs and 6 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking to Carpi. Carpi has seen 7 Overs and 3 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with ranking close to Vis Pesaro. Vis Pesaro is scoring an average of 1.5 goals per game at home when Carpi scores 1 goals per game away. This makes an average of 2.5 goals per match between the teams. Vis Pesaro concedes 0.5 goals on average per game and Carpi 1.33. Taking those numbers together we get a total of 1.83 goals conceded per match. From these averages, we expect to see 2.2 goals per match. History shows that 37.5% of games end Over 2.5 for Vis Pesaro and 37.5% for Carpi. Taking all of the Over/Under 2.5 facts into consideration, it is rather a LOW SCORING game. Our football predictions for OU 2.5 would be UNDER 2.5 Goals. Medium confidence.

Will both teams score or not? Looking at the Vis Pesaro's last 8 games, we see 3 ´both teams scored´ and 5 ´only one team/no score´. From Carpi's last 8 games 3 have seen both teams scoring and 5 only one/no score. Looking at the rank-based BTTS stats, Vis Pesaro had 5 BTTS YES and 5 NO's. For Carpi, we have seen 7 BTTS YES and 3 NO's. There is a 50% chance of Vis Pesaro scoring in this game, the percent for Carpi is 62.5% . Probability of conceding a goal is 75% for Vis Pesaro and 37.5% for Carpi. Looking at the stats above, it will probably be Both Teams to Score-YES match. Football tip for BTTS: pick BTTS-YES! Medium stakes.