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Guangzhou Evergrande vs Chongqing Lifan - 1:1 (Draw)

China - Super League (soccer) 15. Aug 2019 11:35
FREE Score Prediction 3-0
Both Teams Score? No
Under or Over 2.5 Over

Mathematical Probability of Result

Guangzhou Evergrande (84.9%)

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Last games of Guangzhou Evergrande

W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
11. Aug Super League Beijing Guoan - Guangzhou Evergrande Win (1-3) 2.16 
3. Aug Super League Shandong Luneng - Guangzhou Evergrande Win (0-3) 1.77 
28. Jul Super League Guangzhou Evergrande - Beijing Renhe Win (3-0) 1.07 
24. Jul FA Cup Guangzhou Evergrande - Shanghai SIPG Lose (0-2) 3.64 
20. Jul Super League Guangzhou R&F - Guangzhou Evergrande Win (0-5) 1.48 
16. Jul Super League Guangzhou Evergrande - Dalian Yifang F.C. Win (4-1) 1.39 
11. Jul Super League Tianjin Teda - Guangzhou Evergrande Win (0-3) 1.45 
5. Jul Super League Tianjin Tianhai - Guangzhou Evergrande Win (1-3) 1.42 
1. Jul Super League Shanghai Shenhua - Guangzhou Evergrande Win (0-3) 1.69 
22. Jun Super League Guangzhou Evergrande - Hebei Win (2-1) 1.5 
14. Jun Super League Shanghai SIPG - Guangzhou Evergrande Win (0-2) 4.18 
2. Jun Super League Henan Jianye - Guangzhou Evergrande Win (2-5) 1.75 

Last games of Chongqing Lifan

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D
D
D
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DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
11. Aug Super League Chongqing Lifan - Tianjin Tianhai Draw (1-1) 3.55 
27. Jul Super League Hebei - Chongqing Lifan Lose (3-0) 1.8 
21. Jul Super League Chongqing Lifan - Shanghai SIPG Draw (2-2) 4.89 
17. Jul Super League Shenzhen - Chongqing Lifan Win (0-2) 2.8 
10. Jul Super League Beijing Guoan - Chongqing Lifan Lose (4-1) 1.22 
6. Jul Super League Guangzhou R&F - Chongqing Lifan Lose (4-2) 1.86 
29. Jun Super League Chongqing Lifan - Tianjin Teda Win (1-0) 2.31 
23. Jun Super League Wuhan Zall - Chongqing Lifan Win (2-3) 3.91 
14. Jun Super League Chongqing Lifan - Shandong Luneng Draw (1-1) 3.55 
1. Jun Super League Shanghai Shenhua - Chongqing Lifan Draw (0-0) 3.82 
24. May China Premier League Chongqing Lifan - Henan Jianye Draw (0-0) 3.5 
18. May China Premier League Jiangsu Suning FC - Chongqing Lifan Lose (3-1) 1.62 
11. May China Premier League Chongqing Lifan - Guizhou Renhe Win (2-0) 1.7 
1. May FA Cup Chongqing Lifan - Hebei China Fortune Win (1-0) 1.87 
28. Apr China Premier League Chongqing Lifan - Guangzhou Evergrande FC Lose (0-1) 1.55 
21. Apr China Premier League Dalian Yifang - Chongqing Lifan Draw (1-1) 3.88 
5. Apr China Premier League Shanghai SIPG - Chongqing Lifan Win (2-3) 17 
31. Mar China Premier League Chongqing Lifan - Shenzhen FC Win (1-0) 2.4 
9. Mar China Premier League Chongqing Lifan - Beijing Guoan Lose (0-4) 2.13 
2. Mar China Premier League Chongqing Lifan - Guangzhou RF Draw (2-2) 3.74 
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
China - Super League
1.
Shanghai SIPG
65
2.
Shandong Luneng
53
3.
Beijing Guoan
52
4.
Tianjin Teda
44
5.
Chongqing Lifan
43
6.
Shanghai Shenhua
42
7.
Henan Jianye
39
H2H vs SAME TEAMS
Guangzhou Evergrande
Chongqing Lifan
Home Games
L
0-2
Shanghai SIPG
D
2-2
Away Games
W
0-2
Shanghai SIPG
W
2-3
W
0-3
Shanghai Shenhua
D
0-0
W
0-5
Guangzhou R&F
L
4-2
W
1-3
Beijing Guoan
L
4-1


WHO WINS: Guangzhou Evergrande 80%, Chongqing Lifan 20%
SCORE PREDICTION: 2.5 vs 1.1
Over/Under 2.5: OVER (70%)

Both Teams to Score: YES (50%)
GAME REVIEW
A great game for predicting coming up at 15. Aug 2019 Super League where Guangzhou Evergrande is playing against Chongqing Lifan. According to odds it tends to become a close match with most probably at least 2.5+ goals scored. Lets make some basic conclusions from the past data: Guangzhou Evergrande has collected 11 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses in their last 12 games. Last 4 HOME games of Guangzhou Evergrande have shown us 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses. Their last HOME game was on 28. July against Beijing Renhe and it ended with home win (3-0). Last 20 matches of Chongqing Lifan show us 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses. Last 9 AWAY games of Chongqing Lifan are: 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. The last AWAY game was on 27. July against Hebei and that ended with home win (3-0). From this data, we see Guangzhou Evergrande is in a better form with more chances to win than their opponent.

Expecting an interesting game between Low ranking team Guangzhou Evergrande and Medium ranking team Chongqing Lifan. Guangzhou Evergrande's last 0 HOME games against Medium ranking teams: wins, draws and losses. Chongqing Lifan AWAY performance against Low ranking teams: wins, draws and losses from last 0 AWAY games. Guangzhou Evergrande's scoring ability is goals scored per game vs Chongqing Lifan's . Defensive performance shows Guangzhou Evergrande with and Chongqing Lifan with goals conceded per game. If I consider all of the Ranking-based data and stats, I would say that Chongqing Lifan is a bit better and could win this match.

When we look at the last 12 games of Guangzhou Evergrande, we note 10 Overs and 2 Unders. Among the last 20 games of Chongqing Lifan, there have been 9 Overs and 11 Unders. Considering the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Guangzhou Evergrande we see Overs and Unders in their last 0 HOME games against teams with similar ranking and performace as Chongqing Lifan. Chongqing Lifan has seen Overs and Unders in their last 0 AWAY games against teams with similar ranking and performance as Guangzhou Evergrande has. Guangzhou Evergrande scores an average goals each game at home stadium while Chongqing Lifan has been scoring goals away. With these facts combined, we get a total average of 0 goals per match between both teams. Guangzhou Evergrande concedes goals on average and Chongqing Lifan for a total of 0 goals conceded per match. From all this info, we expect about 0 goals per match. History shows that % of games end Over 2.5 for Guangzhou Evergrande and % for Chongqing Lifan. Considering the OU 2.5 numbers and stats, it is close to 2 or 3 goals total - both are possible.

Guangzhou Evergrande's last 12 matches show us 5 games where both teams scored and 7 games where only one team scored or none. From Chongqing Lifan's last 20 games 10 have seen both teams scoring and 10 only one team/no score. Ranking-based BTS stats of Guangzhou Evergrande show us BTS YES and NO's. For Chongqing Lifan, we have seen BTS YES and NO's. There is a % chance of Guangzhou Evergrande scoring today, % for Chongqing Lifan. Probability of conceding a goal is % for Guangzhou Evergrande and % for Chongqing Lifan. Considering all the numbers, it will be a game where both teams rather do not score..