Aarhus vs Midtjylland - 1:2 (Away Win)

Denmark - Superliga - 22. Nov 2020 17:00

FREE Soccer Prediction 2-1
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Over

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (28.6%)
Draw (25.9%)
Away (45.5%)

BETTING ODDS

Tipsters with correct prediction for this game:

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Last games of Aarhus

W
W
D
W
W
L
W
D
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
12. Nov Draw (3-3) Kolding IF - Aarhus Landspokal Cup 
8. Nov Win (1-2) Lyngby - Aarhus Superliga 
25. Oct Lose (0-1) Aarhus - FC Copenhagen Superliga 
18. Oct Win (3-0) Aarhus - Horsens Superliga 
27. Sep Win (4-2) Aarhus - Odense Superliga 
20. Sep Draw (1-1) Randers FC - Aarhus Superliga 
14. Sep Win (4-2) Aarhus - Vejle Superliga 
29. Jul Win (2-1) Aarhus - Odense Superliga 

Last games of Midtjylland

W
W
L
W
L
L
L
W
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
8. Nov Win (4-0) Midtjylland - FC Copenhagen Superliga 
3. Nov Lose (1-2) Midtjylland - Ajax Champions League 
31. Oct Lose (4-1) Nordsjaelland - Midtjylland Superliga 
27. Oct Lose (2-0) Liverpool - Midtjylland Champions League 
24. Oct Win (2-3) Brondby - Midtjylland Superliga 
21. Oct Lose (0-4) Midtjylland - Atalanta Champions League 
17. Oct Win (3-1) Midtjylland - Odense Superliga 
26. Sep Win (1-0) Midtjylland - Randers FC Superliga 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Aarhus
Midtjylland
62.5%
Wins
50%
12.5%
Losses
50%
25 %
Draws
0 %
2.38
Goals scored per match
1.63
1.38
Goals conceded per match
1.88
2.6
Goals scored HOME
1.8
1.2
Goals conceded HOME
1.4
2
Goals scored AWAY
1.33
1.67
Goals conceded AWAY
2.67
87.5%
Chance to score goal next match
75%
87.5%
Chance to concede goal next match
75%
12.5%
Failure to score matches
25%
12.5%
Clean sheets
25%
75%
Matches over 2.5 goals
75%
37.5%
Matches over 3.5 goals
62.5%
1.8
Average Win margin
2
1
Average Loss margin
2.5
75 %
Both teams score YES
50 %
25 %
Both teams score NO
50 %
50 %
Matches ODD score
50 %
50 %
Matches EVEN score
50 %
2.43
Average win odd 1X2
1.9
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
83.33%
Matches WON as Favorite
80%
16.67%
Matches LOST as Favorite
20%
0%
Matches WON as Underdog
0%
0%
Matches LOST as Underdog
100%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Aarhus (High Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
VS
Midtjylland (Medium Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against High Ranking teams
1.9
Goals Scored
1.4
1.3
Goals Conceded
1.4
60% (6)
WON
60% (6)
40% (4)
LOST
30% (3)
0% (0)
DRAW
10% (1)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Sonderjyske
55
2.
Aarhus
54
3.
Silkeborg
53
4.
Vejle
52
5.
Brondby
49
6.
Odense
49
7.
Midtjylland
47
8.
Hobro
46
9.
Aalborg
45
10.
Esbjerg
43
11.
Randers FC
42
12.
FC Copenhagen
42
13.
Horsens
39
14.
Nordsjaelland
39
15.
Lyngby
27
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Aarhus
Midtjylland
Home Games
D
1-1
Lyngby
W
2-0
D
1-1
Randers FC
W
1-0
W
1-0
Odense
W
3-1
W
2-1
Nordsjaelland
W
6-3
L
1-4
Aalborg
L
1-2
W
1-0
FC Copenhagen
W
3-1
L
0-1
Brondby
D
0-0
W
3-0
Horsens
L
0-1
Away Games
W
0-1
FC Copenhagen
W
1-2
W
2-3
Aalborg
W
0-2
D
0-0
Brondby
W
1-2
D
1-1
Nordsjaelland
W
0-1
D
1-1
Randers FC
W
0-2


Winner: Aarhus - 8%, Midtjylland - 85%, Draw 8%
Score prediction: 1 vs 1.42
O/U 2.5:
UNDER (62%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (50%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
This looks to be a goal-filled game where favourite probably takes the win. Lets have a look at the basic past data: Aarhus has collected 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in their last 8 games. Meanwhile their last 5 HOME games shown 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses. Their last HOME game was on 25. October against FC Copenhagen and it ended with away win (0-1). Looking at the last 8 games of Midtjylland we see 4 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses. Last 3 AWAY games show us 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses. Most recent AWAY game was on 31. October against Nordsjaelland and this one ended with home win (4-1). Taking all of this into consideration, we see Aarhus taking an easy WIN as they have much better historical records. Our football tip for 1X2: Aarhus to win! High confidence.

This will be a match involving High ranking team Aarhus and Medium ranking team Midtjylland. Aarhus's last 10 HOME games against Medium ranking teams show 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses. At the same time Midtjylland AWAY performance against High ranking teams shows 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Aarhus's attacking performance shows us an average of 2 goals per game vs Midtjylland's 1.2. Rank-based (against similar ranking teams) defense power shows Aarhus with 1.2 and Midtjylland with 1.4 goals conceded per game. Looking at the the Rank-based (performace against similar ranking teams) factors, our analysts see Aarhus being somewhat superior and probably wins the match. Our football prediction for 1X2: Aarhus to win! Medium confidence.

Last 8 games of Aarhus show us 6 Over 2.5 Goals and 2 Under 2.5 Goals. Last 8 matches of Midtjylland have seen 6 Over 2.5´s and 2 Under 2.5´s. When we look at the ranking-based O/U 2.5 stats of Aarhus it shows us 7 Overs and 3 Unders in the last 10 HOME games against teams who perform in similar way and who have same ranking as Midtjylland. Midtjylland has had 5 Over 2.5´s and 5 Under 2.5´s in their last 10 AWAY encounters against teams with ranking nearly the same as Aarhus. Aarhus is scoring an average of 2.6 goals per game at home when Midtjylland scores 1.33 goals per game away. This makes an average of 3.93 goals per match between the teams. Aarhus concedes 1.2 goals on average per game and Midtjylland 2.67. Taking those numbers together we get a total of 3.87 goals conceded per match. From these averages, we expect to see 3.9 goals per match. History shows that 75% of games end Over 2.5 for Aarhus and 75% for Midtjylland. Taking all of the Over/Under 2.5 facts into consideration, it will be a sure OVER 2.5 game. Under Over 2.5 tip: bet on OVER 2.5! High confidence.

From Aarhus's last 8 encounters 6 have been with both teams scoring a goal and 2 only one team scoring or no goals at all. From Midtjylland's last 8 games, it is 4 with both teams scoring and 4 with only one team/no score. Considering the rank-based BTTS stats, Aarhus had 5 games where both teams scored and 5 where at least one did not. For Midtjylland, we have seen 5 BTTS YES and 5 NO's. There is a 87.5% chance of Aarhus scoring today and 75% for Midtjylland scoring today. Probability of conceding a goal is 87.5% for Aarhus and 75% for Midtjylland. Looking at the numbers, we predict that it will be a game where BOTH TEAMS SCORE. Football prediction for BTTS: bet on BTTS-YES! High confidence.