Calamocha vs Sarinena - 1:0 (Home Win)

Spain - Tercera Division - Group 17 - 22. Nov 2020 13:00

FREE Soccer Prediction 1-1
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Under

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (37.4%)
Draw (28.4%)
Away (34.2%)

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Last games of Calamocha

D
L
D
W
L
D
W
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
23. Feb Lose (0-1) Calamocha - Tarazona Tercera Division - Group 17 
9. Feb Win (2-1) Calamocha - Teruel Tercera Division - Group 17 
2. Feb Draw (2-2) Binefar - Calamocha Tercera Division - Group 17 
26. Jan Lose (1-4) Calamocha - Atletico Monzon Tercera Division - Group 17 
19. Jan Win (1-2) Sarinena - Calamocha Tercera Division - Group 17 
12. Jan Draw (0-0) Calamocha - Robres Tercera Division - Group 17 
5. Jan Lose (3-0) Belchite 97 - Calamocha Tercera Division - Group 17 
29. Dec Draw (2-2) Calamocha - Utebo FC Tercera Division - Group 17 

Last games of Sarinena

W
W
W
L
L
L
D
D
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
23. Feb Draw (0-0) Utebo FC - Sarinena Tercera Division - Group 17 
9. Feb Draw (0-0) Fraga - Sarinena Tercera Division - Group 17 
19. Jan Lose (1-2) Sarinena - Calamocha Tercera Division - Group 17 
29. Dec Lose (3-1) Zaragoza B - Sarinena Tercera Division - Group 17 
15. Dec Lose (2-0) Cuarte - Sarinena Tercera Division - Group 17 
22. Sep Win (2-0) Sarinena - Fraga Tercera Division - Group 17 
18. Sep Win (0-2) Villanueva CF - Sarinena Tercera Division - Group 17 
1. Sep Win (2-0) Sarinena - Almudevar Tercera Division - Group 17 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Calamocha
Sarinena
25%
Wins
37.5%
37.5%
Losses
37.5%
37.5 %
Draws
25 %
1.13
Goals scored per match
1
1.75
Goals conceded per match
0.88
1
Goals scored HOME
1.67
1.6
Goals conceded HOME
0.67
1.33
Goals scored AWAY
0.6
2
Goals conceded AWAY
1
62.5%
Chance to score goal next match
62.5%
87.5%
Chance to concede goal next match
37.5%
37.5%
Failure to score matches
37.5%
12.5%
Clean sheets
62.5%
75%
Matches over 2.5 goals
25%
37.5%
Matches over 3.5 goals
12.5%
1
Average Win margin
2
2.33
Average Loss margin
1.67
62.5 %
Both teams score YES
25 %
37.5 %
Both teams score NO
75 %
62.5 %
Matches ODD score
12.5 %
37.5 %
Matches EVEN score
87.5 %
3.86
Average win odd 1X2
2.82
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
0%
Matches WON as Favorite
75%
100%
Matches LOST as Favorite
25%
50%
Matches WON as Underdog
0%
50%
Matches LOST as Underdog
100%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Calamocha (Low Ranking) last 6 HOME games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
VS
Sarinena (Medium Ranking) last 7 AWAY games STATS against Low Ranking teams
0.5
Goals Scored
0.7
0.7
Goals Conceded
1.3
33% (2)
WON
29% (2)
50% (3)
LOST
29% (2)
17% (1)
DRAW
43% (3)
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REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
It looks like a game where both teams have similar chances to win and score. Lets have a look at the basic past data: Calamocha has collected 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 8 games. Meanwhile their last 5 HOME games shown 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. Their last HOME game was on 23. February against Tarazona and it ended with away win (0-1). Looking at the last 8 games of Sarinena we see 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. Last 5 AWAY games show us 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. Most recent AWAY game was on 23. February against Utebo FC and this one ended with draw (0-0). Taking all of this into consideration, we see two teams with very similar stats and a possible DRAW. Our football prediction for 1X2: pick DRAW!

This will be a match involving Low ranking team Calamocha and Medium ranking team Sarinena. Calamocha's last 5 HOME games against Medium ranking teams show 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses. At the same time Sarinena AWAY performance against Low ranking teams shows 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses from last 6 AWAY games. Calamocha's scoring ability is 0.4 goals scored per game vs Sarinena's 0.8. Defensive performance shows Calamocha with 0.8 and Sarinena with 1.3 goals conceded per game. If I consider all of the Ranking-based data and stats, I would say that Sarinena is a bit better and could win this match. Our football prediction for 1X2: Sarinena to win! Medium confidence.

From last 8 games of Calamocha we see 6 games going Over 2.5 Goals and 2 with Under 2.5 Goals. Last 8 games of Sarinena have seen 2 Overs and 6 Unders. Looking at the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Calamocha it has been 1 Overs and 4 Unders in their last 5 HOME games against teams with similar ranking to Sarinena. Sarinena has seen 2 Overs and 4 Unders in their last 6 AWAY games against teams with ranking close to Calamocha. Calamocha is scoring an average of 1 goals per game at home when Sarinena scores 0.6 goals per game away. This makes an average of 1.6 goals per match between the teams. Calamocha concedes 1.6 goals on average per game and Sarinena 1. Taking those numbers together we get a total of 2.6 goals conceded per match. From these averages, we expect to see 2.1 goals per match. History shows that 75% of games end Over 2.5 for Calamocha and 25% for Sarinena. Taking all of the Over/Under 2.5 facts into consideration, it can be 2-3 goals - OU 2.5 is a risky bet. Under Over 2.5 prediction: no prediction!

Will both teams score or not? Looking at the Calamocha's last 8 games, we see 5 ´both teams scored´ and 3 ´only one team/no score´. From Sarinena's last 8 games 2 have seen both teams scoring and 6 only one/no score. Looking at the rank-based BTTS stats, Calamocha had 1 BTTS YES and 4 NO's. For Sarinena, we have seen 1 BTTS YES and 5 NO's. There is a 62.5% chance of Calamocha scoring in this game, the percent for Sarinena is 62.5% . Probability of conceding a goal is 87.5% for Calamocha and 37.5% for Sarinena. Looking at the stats above, it is quite unclear if BTTS-YES or NO. Hard to predict anything. Football prediction for BTTS: no bet!