Real Aviles vs Llanera - 2:1 (Home Win)

Spain - Tercera Division - Group 2 - 22. Nov 2020 13:00

FREE Soccer Prediction 2-1
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Over

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (27.6%)
Draw (26%)
Away (46.4%)

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Last games of Real Aviles

D
D
L
L
D
L
D
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
26. Jan Lose (4-1) Caudal Deportivo - Real Aviles Tercera Division - Group 2 
19. Jan Draw (2-2) Real Aviles - Condal Tercera Division - Group 2 
12. Jan Lose (3-0) Covadonga - Real Aviles Tercera Division - Group 2 
21. Dec Draw (3-3) Real Aviles - Gijon Industrial Tercera Division - Group 2 
15. Dec Lose (2-1) CD Colunga - Real Aviles Tercera Division - Group 2 
11. Dec Lose (1-0) LEntregu - Real Aviles Tercera Division - Group 2 
24. Nov Draw (1-1) Club Siero - Real Aviles Tercera Division - Group 2 
17. Nov Draw (2-2) Real Aviles - Mosconia Tercera Division - Group 2 

Last games of Llanera

W
D
L
D
L
W
W
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
19. Jul Lose (2-3) Llanera - Covadonga Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 
2. Feb Win (3-0) Llanera - Lenense Tercera Division - Group 2 
19. Jan Win (3-1) Llanera - Tuilla Tercera Division - Group 2 
12. Jan Lose (2-1) Caudal Deportivo - Llanera Tercera Division - Group 2 
5. Jan Draw (1-1) Condal - Llanera Tercera Division - Group 2 
11. Dec Lose (0-1) Llanera - Gijon Industrial Tercera Division - Group 2 
17. Nov Draw (1-1) CD Colunga - Llanera Tercera Division - Group 2 
10. Nov Win (1-2) Club Siero - Llanera Tercera Division - Group 2 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Real Aviles
Llanera
0%
Wins
37.5%
50%
Losses
37.5%
50 %
Draws
25 %
1.25
Goals scored per match
1.63
2.25
Goals conceded per match
1.25
2.33
Goals scored HOME
2
2.33
Goals conceded HOME
1.25
0.6
Goals scored AWAY
1.25
2.2
Goals conceded AWAY
1.25
75%
Chance to score goal next match
87.5%
100%
Chance to concede goal next match
87.5%
25%
Failure to score matches
12.5%
0%
Clean sheets
12.5%
75%
Matches over 2.5 goals
62.5%
50%
Matches over 3.5 goals
25%
0
Average Win margin
2
2
Average Loss margin
1
75 %
Both teams score YES
75 %
25 %
Both teams score NO
25 %
50 %
Matches ODD score
62.5 %
50 %
Matches EVEN score
37.5 %
2.28
Average win odd 1X2
2.83
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
0%
Matches WON as Favorite
66.67%
0%
Matches LOST as Favorite
33.33%
0%
Matches WON as Underdog
33.33%
100%
Matches LOST as Underdog
66.67%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Real Aviles (Low Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Low Ranking teams
VS
Llanera (Low Ranking) last 9 AWAY games STATS against Low Ranking teams
2
Goals Scored
1
1.2
Goals Conceded
1.4
60% (6)
WON
22% (2)
10% (1)
LOST
44% (4)
30% (3)
DRAW
33% (3)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
LEntregu
44
2.
Union Club Ceares
42
3.
SD Navarro CF
40
4.
Condal
38
5.
CD Colunga
37
6.
Real Aviles
37
7.
Llanera
36
8.
EI San Martin
33
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Real Aviles
Llanera
Home Games
D
3-3
Gijon Industrial
L
0-1
Away Games
L
4-1
Caudal Deportivo
L
2-1


Winner: Real Aviles - 50%, Llanera - 50%
Score prediction: 1.75 vs 2
O/U 2.5: OVER (75%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (75%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
Game odds suggest its going to be a game where the favorite takes what it owns. Real Aviles has gained 0 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from the last 8 games. Last 3 HOME games show us 0 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses. Their last game at HOME was on 19. January against Condal, resulting in draw (2-2). Looking at the last 8 games of Llanera we see 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. Last 4 AWAY games show us 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. Most recent AWAY game was on 12. January against Caudal Deportivo and this one ended with home win (2-1). Taking all of this into consideration, we see both teams being equal and a possible DRAW here. Our football prediction for 1X2: pick DRAW!

Expecting an interesting game between Low ranking Real Aviles and Low ranking team Llanera. Real Aviles's last 10 HOME games against Low ranking teams: 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses. Llanera AWAY performance against Low ranking teams: 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from last 8 AWAY games. Real Aviles's attacking performance is 1.8 goals per game. Same stats for Llanera shows us 1. On the defensive side, we have Real Aviles with 1.1 and Llanera with 1.4 goals conceded per game. Taking all the Ranking-based facts and analysis into consideration, we see Real Aviles being stronger and most likely winning this game. Our football prediction for 1X2: Real Aviles to win! High confidence.

When we look at the last 8 games of Real Aviles, we note 6 Overs and 2 Unders. Among the last 8 games of Llanera, there have been 5 Overs and 3 Unders. Considering the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Real Aviles we see 5 Overs and 5 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking and performace as Llanera. Llanera has seen 3 Overs and 5 Unders in their last 8 AWAY games against teams with similar ranking and performance as Real Aviles has. Real Aviles is scoring an average of 2.33 goals per game at home when Llanera scores 1.25 goals per game away. This makes an average of 3.58 goals per match between the teams. Real Aviles concedes 2.33 goals on average per game and Llanera 1.25. Taking those numbers together we get a total of 3.58 goals conceded per match. From these averages, we expect to see 3.6 goals per match. History shows that 75% of games end Over 2.5 for Real Aviles and 62.5% for Llanera. Taking all of the Over/Under 2.5 facts into consideration, it probably is an OVER 2.5 match. Under Over 2.5 prediction: pick OVER 2.5! Medium confidence.

From Real Aviles's last 8 encounters 6 have been with both teams scoring a goal and 2 only one team scoring or no goals at all. From Llanera's last 8 games, it is 6 with both teams scoring and 2 with only one team/no score. Considering the rank-based BTTS stats, Real Aviles had 5 games where both teams scored and 5 where at least one did not. For Llanera, we have seen 5 BTTS YES and 3 NO's. There is a 75% chance of Real Aviles scoring today and 87.5% for Llanera scoring today. Probability of conceding a goal is 100% for Real Aviles and 87.5% for Llanera. Looking at the numbers, we predict that it will be a game where BOTH TEAMS SCORE. Football prediction for BTTS: bet on BTTS-YES! High confidence.