CD Mostoles vs Carabanchel - 2:0 (Home Win)

Spain - Tercera Division - Group 7 - 22. Nov 2020 13:00

FREE Soccer Prediction 2-1
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Over

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (42.4%)
Draw (29.2%)
Away (28.4%)

BETTING ODDS

Tipsters with correct prediction for this game:

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Last games of CD Mostoles

L
D
L
L
W
W
W
D
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
8. Mar Draw (2-2) Rayo Vallecano B - CD Mostoles Tercera Division - Group 7 
1. Mar Win (2-0) CD Mostoles - Parla Tercera Division - Group 7 
23. Feb Win (1-2) Trival Valderas - CD Mostoles Tercera Division - Group 7 
16. Feb Win (4-1) CD Mostoles - Moratalaz Tercera Division - Group 7 
9. Feb Lose (3-0) RSD Alcala - CD Mostoles Tercera Division - Group 7 
2. Feb Lose (1-2) CD Mostoles - Flat Earth Tercera Division - Group 7 
19. Jan Draw (0-0) CD Mostoles - Pozuelo de Alarcon Tercera Division - Group 7 
12. Jan Lose (3-0) AD Torrejon - CD Mostoles Tercera Division - Group 7 

Last games of Carabanchel

D
W
D
L
W
L
W
D
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
8. Mar Draw (1-1) AD Torrejon - Carabanchel Tercera Division - Group 7 
1. Mar Win (3-1) Carabanchel - El Alamo Tercera Division - Group 7 
23. Feb Lose (3-0) Navalcarnero - Carabanchel Tercera Division - Group 7 
16. Feb Win (2-0) Carabanchel - San Fernando Tercera Division - Group 7 
2. Feb Lose (1-2) Carabanchel - Alcorcon B Tercera Division - Group 7 
26. Jan Draw (1-1) Parla - Carabanchel Tercera Division - Group 7 
19. Jan Win (2-1) Carabanchel - Moratalaz Tercera Division - Group 7 
11. Jan Draw (1-1) Flat Earth - Carabanchel Tercera Division - Group 7 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
CD Mostoles
Carabanchel
37.5%
Wins
37.5%
37.5%
Losses
25%
25 %
Draws
37.5 %
1.38
Goals scored per match
1.38
1.5
Goals conceded per match
1.25
1.75
Goals scored HOME
2
0.75
Goals conceded HOME
1
1
Goals scored AWAY
0.75
2.25
Goals conceded AWAY
1.5
62.5%
Chance to score goal next match
87.5%
75%
Chance to concede goal next match
87.5%
37.5%
Failure to score matches
12.5%
25%
Clean sheets
12.5%
75%
Matches over 2.5 goals
50%
25%
Matches over 3.5 goals
12.5%
2
Average Win margin
1.67
2.33
Average Loss margin
2
50 %
Both teams score YES
75 %
50 %
Both teams score NO
25 %
62.5 %
Matches ODD score
37.5 %
37.5 %
Matches EVEN score
62.5 %
2.73
Average win odd 1X2
2.49
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
50%
Matches WON as Favorite
100%
50%
Matches LOST as Favorite
0%
50%
Matches WON as Underdog
0%
50%
Matches LOST as Underdog
100%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
CD Mostoles (Medium Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
VS
Carabanchel (Medium Ranking) last 7 AWAY games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
1.6
Goals Scored
0.6
1.1
Goals Conceded
1.7
60% (6)
WON
0% (0)
20% (2)
LOST
57% (4)
20% (2)
DRAW
43% (3)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Alcorcon B
55
2.
RSD Alcala
54
3.
Rayo Vallecano B
49
4.
CD Mostoles
48
5.
Santa Ana
48
6.
Carabanchel
48
7.
Atletico Pinto
44
8.
Pozuelo de Alarcon
40
9.
El Alamo
38
10.
AD Torrejon
37
11.
Parla
36
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
CD Mostoles
Carabanchel
Home Games
W
4-1
Moratalaz
W
2-1
W
1-0
El Alamo
W
3-1
Away Games
L
2-1
Navalcarnero
L
3-0
L
3-0
AD Torrejon
D
1-1


Winner: CD Mostoles - 50%, Carabanchel - 50%
Score prediction: 1.5 vs 1.5
O/U 2.5: OVER (75%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (63%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
According to the odds and stats it tends to become a game where the favorite takes what it owns. Lets have a look at the basic past data: CD Mostoles has collected 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 8 games. Meanwhile their last 4 HOME games shown 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. Their last HOME game was on 1. March against Parla and it ended with home win (2-0). Last 8 matches of Carabanchel show us 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. Last 4 AWAY games are: 0 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses. The last AWAY game was on 8. March against AD Torrejon and that ended with draw (1-1). From this data, we see a high chance of DRAW as both teams have similar past performance. Our football tip for 1X2: bet on DRAW!

This is a game between Medium ranking CD Mostoles and Medium ranking Carabanchel. CD Mostoles's last 9 HOME games against Medium ranking teams show 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. Meanwhile Carabanchel AWAY performance against Medium ranking teams shows 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from last 6 AWAY games. CD Mostoles's attacking performance shows us an average of 1.6 goals per game vs Carabanchel's 0.7. Rank-based (against similar ranking teams) defense power shows CD Mostoles with 1.2 and Carabanchel with 1.7 goals conceded per game. Looking at the the Rank-based (performace against similar ranking teams) factors, our analysts see CD Mostoles being somewhat superior and probably wins the match. Our football prediction for 1X2: CD Mostoles to win! Medium confidence.

Last 8 games of CD Mostoles show us 6 Over 2.5 Goals and 2 Under 2.5 Goals. Last 8 matches of Carabanchel have seen 4 Over 2.5´s and 4 Under 2.5´s. When we look at the ranking-based O/U 2.5 stats of CD Mostoles it shows us 5 Overs and 4 Unders in the last 9 HOME games against teams who perform in similar way and who have same ranking as Carabanchel. Carabanchel has had 3 Over 2.5´s and 3 Under 2.5´s in their last 6 AWAY encounters against teams with ranking nearly the same as CD Mostoles. CD Mostoles is scoring an average of 1.75 goals per game at home when Carabanchel scores 0.75 goals per game away. This makes an average of 2.5 goals per match between the teams. CD Mostoles concedes 0.75 goals on average per game and Carabanchel 1.5. Taking those numbers together we get a total of 2.25 goals conceded per match. From these averages, we expect to see 2.4 goals per match. History shows that 75% of games end Over 2.5 for CD Mostoles and 50% for Carabanchel. Taking all of the Over/Under 2.5 facts into consideration, it probably is an OVER 2.5 match. Under Over 2.5 prediction: pick OVER 2.5! Medium confidence.

CD Mostoles's last 8 matches show us 4 games where both teams scored and 4 games where only one team scored or none. From Carabanchel's last 8 games 6 have seen both teams scoring and 2 only one team/no score. Ranking-based BTS stats of CD Mostoles show us 4 BTS YES and 5 NO's. For Carabanchel, we have seen 3 BTS YES and 3 NO's. There is a 62.5% chance of CD Mostoles scoring today, 87.5% for Carabanchel. Probability of conceding a goal is 75% for CD Mostoles and 87.5% for Carabanchel. Considering all the numbers, it could be both teams scoring. Football tip for BTTS: pick BTTS-YES! Medium confidence.